The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sanat Naft 11.1%
Draw 23.3%
Persepolis 65.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.2%
26.4%
53.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20%
26.2%
53.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanat Naft has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sanat Naft's form might have worsened.
Persepolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Persepolis's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanat Naft than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sanat Naft, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persepolis than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Persepolis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
8.3%
66.7%
Sanat Naft - Persepolis Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Sanat Naft will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Persepolis will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Persepolis: 40% โ 93.4%.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Esmaeilifar D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
66', 0 - 2, Alkasir I. ⚽,
71', 0 - 3, Kanaanizadegan H. (Pen),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sanat Naft won 1.
Sanat Naft is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Persepolis in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Persepolis is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 18 head-to-head matches Sanat Naft won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 11-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Sanat Naft won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.