Match Info

IRAN: Azadegan League - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2024, Friday

Location: Takhti Stadium (Abadan)


	Sanat Naft		Shahr Raz

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.5	8
	1.4	3.45	8.6
	1.43	3.62	8.91	Watch
	1.44	3.25	9
	1.38	3.62	10.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.8)	3.49 ↑ (3.05)	8.92 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sanat Naft
63.9%

Draw
25.9%

Shahr Raz
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

29.5%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

28.7%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sanat Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sanat Naft's performance.

Shahr Raz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shahr Raz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sanat Naft than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sanat Naft that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shahr Raz than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shahr Raz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sanat Naft - Shahr Raz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Khorasani M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 2 - 0, Seifi M. ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, Salehi S. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 and 14).

Sanat Naft is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Shahr Raz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sanat Naft could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sanat Naft is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sanat Naft
Iran Division 1
13.12.24	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Sanat Naft	2:0 ✺
07.12.24	Sanat Naft - Pars Jonoubi Jam	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Sanat Naft	0:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
23.11.24	Sanat Naft - Aluminium Arak	1:0 ✺
Iran Division 1
16.11.24	Sanat Naft - Naft Masjed Soleyman	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWT
- Shahr Raz FC
Iran Division 1
06.12.24	Mes Kerman - Shahr Raz	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Shahr Raz - SaiPa	Saipa awarded ✺
16.11.24	Ario Eslamshahr - Shahr Raz	0:0 ✺
10.11.24	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Shahr Raz	1:1 ✺
29.10.24	Shahr Raz - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 L?TTW

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