Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 29

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Sancataldese		Castrovillari

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.7	5.25
	1.55	3.74	5.19
	1.53	3.78	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.53)	3.74 ↑ (3.73)	5.35 ↑ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sancataldese
59%

Draw
24.1%

Castrovillari
16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

16.6%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Sancataldese have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Castrovillari have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sancataldese than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sancataldese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castrovillari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sancataldese won 1.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Sancataldese is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sancataldese won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sancataldese won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sancataldese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
25.02.24	Trapani - Sancataldese	3:0 ✺
18.02.24	Sancataldese - Ragusa	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Città di SantAgata - Sancataldese	3:0 ✺
31.01.24	Sancataldese - Gioiese	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Licata - Sancataldese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLWL
- ASD Castrovillari Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
25.02.24	Castrovillari - Locri	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Canicattì - Castrovillari	4:2 ✺
04.02.24	Castrovillari - Real Casalnuovo	0:2 ✺
31.01.24	Akragas - Castrovillari	5:1 ✺
28.01.24	Castrovillari - Vibonese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
28.10.23	Castrovillari - Sancataldese	1:1
12.02.23	Sancataldese - Castrovillari	1:2
16.10.22	Castrovillari - Sancataldese	1:0
14.04.22	Sancataldese - Castrovillari	0:0
05.12.21	Castrovillari - Sancataldese	1:3
24.02.19	Sancataldese - Castrovillari	3:0
04.11.18	Castrovillari - Sancataldese	2:1

Sancataldese - Castrovillari: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide