Match Info

Date: 1 May 2022, Sunday


	Sancataldese		Troina

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.86	4.51
	1.77	3.28	4.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.1)	3.57 ↑ (2.88)	4.53 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sancataldese
54.4%

Draw
25.5%

Troina
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

30.5%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

30.7%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sancataldese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sancataldese's performance.

Troina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Troina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sancataldese than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sancataldese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troina than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Troina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Sancataldese is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Troina is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Troina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sancataldese have a series of guest games.

Sancataldese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sancataldese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sancataldese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sancataldese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
27.04.22	Biancavilla - Sancataldese	0:3 ✺
24.04.22	San Luca - Sancataldese	0:2 ✺
14.04.22	Sancataldese - Castrovillari	0:0 ✺
30.03.22	Giarre - Sancataldese	1:0 ✺
13.03.22	Santa Maria Cilento - Sancataldese	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWTLW
- ASD Troina Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
27.04.22	Troina - Santa Maria Cilento	2:1 ✺
24.04.22	Biancavilla - Troina	1:2 ✺
20.04.22	Trapani - Troina	9:0 ✺
10.04.22	Giarre - Troina	2:1 ✺
13.03.22	Troina - Rende	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
21.11.21	Troina - Sancataldese	0:0
09.12.18	Troina - Sancataldese	2:0
26.11.17	Sancataldese - Troina	0:1

Sancataldese - Troina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide