Match Info

Date: 4 May 2022, Wednesday


	Sand		Gebenbach

	1	X	2
	4.6	4.6	1.47
	4.2	4	1.52
	4.7	4.2	1.47
	5.26	4.62	1.52
	4.62	4.4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↑ (4.4)	4.36 ↑ (3.85)	1.51 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sand
19.3%

Draw
20.7%

Gebenbach
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

22.7%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

23.3%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Gebenbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sand than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gebenbach than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	11.1%	44.4%

Sand - Gebenbach Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sand will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Gebenbach will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sand: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation) and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sand won 0.

Sand is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gebenbach is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sand could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gebenbach is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sand won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Sand won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Sand
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
30.04.22	Vatan Spor Aschaffenburg - Sand	3:1 ✺
27.04.22	Ansbach - Sand	4:0 ✺
23.04.22	Sand - DJK Ammerthal	0:3 ✺
18.04.22	Bayern Hof - Sand	2:0 ✺
16.04.22	ATSV Erlangen - Sand	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- DJK Gebenbach
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
30.04.22	Gebenbach - Großbardorf	1:1 ✺
22.04.22	Seligenporten - Gebenbach	3:4 ✺
18.04.22	Gebenbach - DJK Don Bosco Bamberg	4:2 ✺
14.04.22	Gebenbach - Bayern Hof	1:2 ✺
26.03.22	Eintracht Bamberg - Gebenbach	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Bayern Nord
11.09.21	Gebenbach - Sand	4:0
23.11.19	Sand - Gebenbach	0:1
31.07.19	Gebenbach - Sand	4:2
20.04.19	Gebenbach - Sand	2:2
22.09.18	Sand - Gebenbach	1:3
04.11.17	Gebenbach - Sand	2:0
26.07.17	Sand - Gebenbach	3:1

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