Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group IV - Round 4

Date: 21 August 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadion Ojca Władysława Augustynka (Nowy Sącz)


	Sandecja Nowy Sącz		Czarni Połaniec

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.9	3.5
	1.73	4	3.87	Watch
	1.74	3.8	3.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.01)	3.9 ↑ (3.88)	3.75 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandecja Nowy Sącz
52.5%

Draw
23.3%

Czarni Połaniec
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

23.4%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

22.6%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandecja Nowy Sącz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sandecja Nowy Sącz's performance.

Czarni Połaniec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Czarni Połaniec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandecja Nowy Sącz than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sandecja Nowy Sącz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Czarni Połaniec than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Czarni Połaniec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Czarni Połaniec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Pietraszkiewicz D. ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Kowalik P. ⚽,
56', 3 - 0, Wolsztynski R. ⚽,
71', 4 - 0, Wolsztynski R. ⚽,
74', 🟨,
86', 5 - 0, Wolsztynski R. ⚽,
89', 6 - 0, Kwietniewski M. (Pen),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
17.08.24	Wisła II Kraków - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:1 ✺
11.08.24	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	3:2 ✺
Polish Cup
07.08.24	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
03.08.24	Wisłoka Dębica - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Garbarnia Kraków - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TWWWW
- Czarni Połaniec
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
17.08.24	Czarni Połaniec - Świdniczanka Świdnik	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Czarni Połaniec	6:1 ✺
03.08.24	Czarni Połaniec - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:4 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.24	Czarni Połaniec - Wisłoka Dębica	2:2 ✺
17.07.24	Czarni Połaniec - Maccabi Bnei Raina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.7 WLLTT

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