Match Info

Division 2 - Round 5

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Stadion Ojca Władysława Augustynka (Nowy Sącz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Sandecja Nowy Sącz		Górnik Łęczna

	1	X	2
	2.30	3.20	2.65
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.13	3.45	3.34
	2.05	3.56	3.34	Watch
	2.02	3.4	3.3
	2.1	3.66	3.14	Watch
	1.98	3.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.21)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	3.11 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandecja Nowy Sącz
43.2%

Draw
27.3%

Górnik Łęczna
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

26.5%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

25.7%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandecja Nowy Sącz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandecja Nowy Sącz than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Górnik Łęczna Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sandecja (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Szymkowiak K. (G) 29. Brenkus A. 23. Danek A. (C) 8. Gerstenstein L. 9. Holan D. 11. Kawala S. 76. Kielis P. 3. Plesnierowicz W. 17. Plocica M. 24. Slaby K. 6. Zurawski M.	1. Matysek A. (G) 29. Antkowiak H. 10. Deja A. 3. Holownia M. 17. Janaszek F. 4. Jaroszynski P. (C) 7. Korbecki B. 74. Kruk K. 38. Myszor J. 19. Quainoo S. 16. Walski M.
Substitutes
47. Blyszko W. 12. Divis T. 30. Glogowski B. (G) 10. Goku Roman 7. Kolar M. 19. Kolbon T. 20. Kosinski E. 26. Kowalik P. 98. Ogorzaly K.	30. Akhmedov B. 5. Kobryn R. 9. Novotny J. 27. Rogala G. 40. Stadnicki E. . Swierkot I. 11. Tkacz D. 23. Turek K. 99. Wilk K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Quainoo S. ⚽, Janaszek F. (A),
23', Slaby K. 🟨,
30', Janaszek F. 🟨,
45+1', Korbecki B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 1 - 1, Kielis P. ⚽,
52', Walski M. 🟨,
52', Deja A. 🟨,
56', Plesnierowicz W. 🟨,
58', Antkowiak H. ↓, Tkacz D. ↑,
65', Walski M. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Korbecki B. ↓, Akhmedov B. ↑,
66', Zurawski M. ↓, Kosinski E. ↑,
66', Danek A. ↓, Ogorzaly K. ↑,
66', Kawala S. ↓, Kolar M. ↑,
71', Kielis P. ↓, Divis T. ↑,
76', Quainoo S. ↓, Stadnicki E. ↑,
76', Janaszek F. ↓, Novotny J. ↑,
76', Walski M. ↓, Rogala G. ↑,
77', Brenkus A. ↓, Goku Roman ↑,
90+3', Holownia M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sandecja won 1.

Sandecja is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Górnik Łęczna has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sandecja could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sandecja won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sandecja won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now

Leczna: 13.59% Sandecja Nowy S.: 6.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Leczna	10	6	2	2	21:10	11	20

Last Results with these Odds

Sandecja Nowy Sącz - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 40.76%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Górnik Łęczna - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.75%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Polish Division 2
15.08.26	Swit Skolwin - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	0:1 ✺
09.08.26	Avia Świdnik - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3:0 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.26	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	3:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
02.08.26	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:0 ✺
25.07.26	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Hutnik	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWT
- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 2
14.08.26	Górnik Łęczna - Podhale Nowy Targ	5:2 ✺
09.08.26	Śląsk Wrocław 2 - Górnik Łęczna	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
05.08.26	Górnik Łęczna - KKS Kalisz	2:0 ✺
Polish Division 2
01.08.26	Górnik Łęczna - Avia Świdnik	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Swit Skolwin - Górnik Łęczna	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
10.02.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Górnik Łęczna	3:0
24.07.22	Górnik Łęczna - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	1:1
13.06.21	Górnik Łęczna - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3:0
13.12.20	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Górnik Łęczna	1:1
23.03.14	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Górnik Łęczna	1:2
21.08.13	Górnik Łęczna - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3:0
01.06.13	Górnik Łęczna - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:2

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