Match Info

Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 25

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Sandefjord 2		Bjarg

	1	X	2
	5.56	5.41	1.31
	5.25	5.26	1.40	Watch
	6.11	5.4	1.35
	3.67	4.2	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.15 ↑ (3.83)	5.07 ↑ (4.5)	1.44 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandefjord 2
17.9%

Draw
18.1%

Bjarg
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

20.3%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

19.4%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandefjord 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sandefjord 2's form might have worsened.

Bjarg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bjarg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandefjord 2 than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bjarg than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bjarg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sandefjord 2 - Bjarg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Hopsdal S. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Ahlander A. ⚽,
28', 0 - 3, Dahl C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
72', 0 - 4, Jorgensen J. ⚽,
84', 1 - 4, Lavlund E. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Bjarg is Confirmed as championsnQualified for

In recent matches, Sandefjord 2 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bjarg is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sandefjord 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bjarg is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sandefjord 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandefjord 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
12.10.25	Sandefjord 2 - Askøy	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Fyllingsdalen - Sandefjord 2	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Sandefjord 2 - Fjøra	4:2 ✺
22.09.25	Fana - Sandefjord 2	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	Sandefjord 2 - Os TF	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLL
- IL Bjarg
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
11.10.25	Bjarg - Fyllingsdalen	5:0 ✺
04.10.25	Fana - Bjarg	3:4 ✺
27.09.25	Bjarg - Vålerenga 2	0:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.09.25	Bjarg - Stabæk	6:1 ✺
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
20.09.25	Fjøra - Bjarg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
07.04.25	Bjarg - Sandefjord 2	4:1

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