Match Info

NM Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stavollen kunstgress (Bergen)


	Bjarg		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.8	1.7
	4.15	3.7	1.75
	3.57	3.77	1.87
	2.45	3.96	2.41	Watch
	4.01	3.86	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↓ (3.7)	3.82 ↑ (3.75)	1.91 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bjarg
26.1%

Draw
24.6%

Stabæk
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

24.6%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

25.7%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bjarg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Stabæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bjarg than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Bjarg - Stabæk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Stabæk (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Stabæk (3.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Stabæk (3.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stabæk will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stabæk will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Stabæk (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johnsen J. (G) 22. Christophersen M. 23. Hopsdal S. (C) 14. Aanonsen S. 4. Ahmer M. 7. Hopsdal S. 15. Aarstad T. 6. Halset V. 8. Jorgensen J. 18. Ahlander A. 16. Fromreide Aasbo E.	24. Sjoeng M. (G) 4. Naess N. (C) 14. Nielsen M. 15. Veum O. 16. Hoven A. 18. Bawa A. 27. Danso E. 20. Andresen A. 8. Lankhof-Dahlby M. 25. Afrim D. 30. Ellegaard F.
Substitutes
26. Bonabandi K. H. 10. Dahl C. 11. Eide J. 25. Hanssen A. 5. Mildestveit H. 24. Mossestad P. 19. Stronstad-Loseth S. 20. Thoresen-Rasmussen E.	9. Diabate B. 29. Ekorness K. 13. Hellan M. 41. Lokkevik K. (G) 26. Nysveen J. 17. Olderheim S. 2. Pedersen K. 7. Vinge R. E.
Coaches
Birkelund T.	Stahre M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Ahlander A. ⚽, Jorgensen J. (A),
19', 2 - 0, Hopsdal S. ⚽, Halset V. (A),
30', 2 - 1, Lankhof-Dahlby M. ⚽,
35', Lankhof-Dahlby M. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Hoven A. ↓, Hellan M. ↑,
46', Bawa A. ↓, Olderheim S. ↑,
46', Afrim D. ↓, Diabate B. ↑,
48', Ahlander A. 🟨,
49', 3 - 1, Halset V. ⚽, Ahlander A. (A),
59', 4 - 1, Jorgensen J. ⚽, Hopsdal S. (A),
64', 5 - 1, Ahlander A. ⚽, Fromreide Aasbo E. (A),
66', Nielsen M. ↓, Nysveen J. ↑,
66', Ellegaard F. ↓, Vinge R. E. ↑,
66', 🟨,
66', Hopsdal S. 🟨,
72', Ahlander A. ↓, Hanssen A. ↑,
79', Halset V. ↓, Stronstad-Loseth S. ↑,
83', Fromreide Aasbo E. ↓, Dahl C. ↑,
83', Jorgensen J. ↓, Mildestveit H. ↑,
87', 6 - 1, Ahmer M. ⚽, Dahl C. (A),

Preview

Bjarg has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Stabæk is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bjarg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stabæk is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IL Bjarg
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
20.09.25	Fjøra - Bjarg	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Bjarg - Loddefjord	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Gneist - Bjarg	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Bjarg - Os TF	2:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
27.08.25	Bjarg - Vard Haugesund	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW
- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.09.25	Stabæk - Raufoss	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Egersund - Stabæk	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Stabæk - Start	1:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
27.08.25	Gamle Oslo - Stabæk	1:4 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
23.08.25	Ranheim - Stabæk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WTTWT

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