Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Hardtwaldstadion (Sandhausen)

Referee: Schwengers P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 4
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Germany	Magenta Sport
Montenegro	Sportklub 4
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 4
Serbia	SportKlub 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	Sandhausen		Saarbrücken

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.15
	2.9	3.5	2.25
	3	3.4	2.25
	3.16	3.56	2.25
	3.09	3.46	2.21	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.25
	3.02	3.48	2.16	Watch
	3	3.4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.66)	3.44 ↑ (3.42)	2.22 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandhausen
31%

Draw
27.1%

Saarbrücken
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

27%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

25.3%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Saarbrücken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandhausen than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	10%	50%

Sandhausen - Saarbrücken Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sandhausen will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Saarbrücken will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saarbrücken: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rehnen N. (G) 23. Lang N. 6. Lorch J. 14. Lewald J. (C) 16. Kreuzer N. 24. Greil P. 2. Girdvainis E. 3. Ehlich C. 10. Butler J. 5. Duman T. 17. Otto D.	13. Menzel P. (C) 2. Fahrner P. 4. Sonnenberg S. 27. Bichsel J. 7. Rizzuto C. 6. Sontheimer P. 23. Civeja T. 19. Vasiliadis S. 22. Stehle S. F. 9. Brunker K. 10. Rabihic K.
Substitutes
28. Baumann D. 7. Fehler S. 8. Fuchs A. . Granath V. 13. Iwe E. 33. Lambert P. 37. Lokaj D. 18. Richter D. (G) 19. Zander L.	20. Gunther-Schmidt J. 5. Krahn E. 11. Multhaup M. 1. Paterok T. (G) 39. Schmidt P. 33. Schumacher T. 16. Thoelke B. 18. Wilhelm L. 8. Zeitz M.
Coaches
Kocak K.	Ziehl R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Brunker K. ⚽, Rabihic K. (A),
27', Brunker K. 🟨,
35', Bichsel J. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Greil P. ⚽, Otto D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 3)
46', Fahrner P. ↓, Zeitz M. ↑,
46', Civeja T. ↓, Wilhelm L. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Lorch J. ⚽, Girdvainis E. (A),
66', Greil P. 🟨,
67', 2 - 2, Rabihic K. ⚽,
68', Butler J. ↓, Granath V. ↑,
73', Brunker K. ↓, Multhaup M. ↑,
74', Bichsel J. ↓, Schmidt P. ↑,
74', 2 - 3, Vasiliadis S. ⚽,
75', Otto D. ↓, Baumann D. ↑,
76', Greil P. ↓, Fehler S. ↑,
76', Kreuzer N. ↓, Zander L. ↑,
84', Rabihic K. ↓, Thoelke B. ↑,
87', 3 - 3, Zander L. ⚽, Fehler S. (A),
90', Lang N. ↓, Fuchs A. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 4, Multhaup M. ⚽, Schmidt P. (A),

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sandhausen won 2.

Sandhausen has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Saarbrücken is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Saarbrücken will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Sandhausen: Halimi B. (Red Card) Konigsmann T. (Knee Injury) Meier R. (Injury) Schikora M. (Yellow Cards) Stolze S. (Yellow Cards) Weik J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Saarbrücken: Naifi A. (Knee Injury) Uaferro B. (Muscle Injury)

Our prediction for today's Saarbrücken to win the game is with odds 2.23.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sandhausen won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.6:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Sandhausen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:6 (average 2.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Sandhausen
German 3 Bundesliga
18.01.25	Osnabrück - Sandhausen	3:2 ✺
21.12.24	Viktoria Köln - Sandhausen	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Sandhausen - Erzgebirge Aue	4:6 ✺
07.12.24	Hansa Rostock - Sandhausen	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Sandhausen - Dynamo Dresden	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
18.01.25	Saarbrücken - 1860 München	4:0 ✺
21.12.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Saarbrücken	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	Saarbrücken - Alemannia Aachen	1:1 ✺
06.12.24	Verl - Saarbrücken	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Saarbrücken - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
11.08.24	Saarbrücken - Sandhausen	0:1
13.04.24	Saarbrücken - Sandhausen	4:1
04.11.23	Sandhausen - Saarbrücken	2:2
Club Friendly
17.07.19	Sandhausen - Saarbrücken	4:3
19.01.19	Saarbrücken - Sandhausen	0:0
30.07.16	Saarbrücken - Sandhausen	2:3
20.01.13	Sandhausen - Saarbrücken	2:1

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