The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sandhausen 42.4%
Draw 26.1%
Erzgebirge Aue 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47%
25.6%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
24.8%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sandhausen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandhausen than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sandhausen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
12.5%
12.5%
Sandhausen - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Sandhausen will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Aue will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sandhausen: 45% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Gorka D. (G) 6. Lorch J. 21. Schikora M. 14. Lewald J. (C) 3. Ehlich C. 15. Muhling A. 24. Greil P. 36. Stolze S. 27. Wolf L. M. 28. Baumann D. 7. Fehler S.
1. Mannel M. (G) 17. Fallmann P. 24. Nkansah S. 4. Vukancic N. 29. Rosenlocher L. 10. Pepic M. 30. Loune A. 26. Jakob K. 11. Sijaric O. 14. Tashchy B. 15. Bar M.
Substitutes
26. Carls J. 30. Idjakovic L. (G) 13. Iwe E. 16. Kreuzer N. 33. Lambert P. 23. Lang N. 20. Maciejewski T. 17. Otto D. 29. Wiesendanger T.
9. Bornschein R. 21. Burghardt M. 8. Clausen M. 20. Fabisch J. 19. Hoffmann T. 18. Kallenbach W. 22. Lord L. (G) 7. Seitz S.
Coaches
Ristic S.
Dotchev P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
10', 1 - 0, Lewald J. ⚽, Stolze S. (A),
15', Vukancic N. 🟨,
22', Muhling A. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Sijaric O. ⚽, Fallmann P. (A),
31', 1 - 2, Jakob K. ⚽, Vukancic N. (A),
32', Lorch J. 🟨,
40', 1 - 3, Sijaric O. ⚽,
42', Nkansah S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
46', Fehler S. ↓, Iwe E. ↑,
46', Greil P. ↓, Otto D. ↑,
57', 2 - 3, Stolze S. ⚽,
58', 2 - 4, Sijaric O. ⚽,
59', Ehlich C. ↓, Carls J. ↑,
67', Jakob K. ↓, Seitz S. ↑,
67', Wolf L. M. ↓, Maciejewski T. ↑,
70', 2 - 5, Loune A. ⚽,
74', Stolze S. ↓, Kreuzer N. ↑,
76', 3 - 5, Baumann D. ⚽,
77', 3 - 6, Seitz S. ⚽, Pepic M. (A),
79', Maciejewski T. 🟨,
83', Sijaric O. ↓, Bornschein R. ↑,
85', Schikora M. 🟨,
89', Tashchy B. ↓, Clausen M. ↑,
89', Loune A. ↓, Fabisch J. ↑,
90', Fallmann P. ↓, Burghardt M. ↑,
90+5', 4 - 6, Lorch J. ⚽,
Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sandhausen won 3.
One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
Sandhausen will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Sandhausen: Meier R.
(Injury)
Rehnen N.
(Knee Injury)
Weik J.
(Knee Injury)
Zander L.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Aue: Clausen M.
(Injury)
Ozkan C.
(Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Sandhausen won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 21:26 (average 1.1:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Sandhausen won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:12 (average 1.1:1.2).