Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 3 - ROUND 4

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday


	Sant Andreu		Hércules

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.22	3.09	2.29
	3.14	2.95	2.25
	3.25	3.05	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (4.3)	3.05 ↓ (3.42)	2.22 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sant Andreu
28.5%

Draw
30.1%

Hércules
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

26.9%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

26.7%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sant Andreu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sant Andreu's performance.

Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hércules might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sant Andreu than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sant Andreu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hércules could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sant Andreu - Hércules Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Sant Andreu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hércules is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Sant Andreu have a series of guest games.

In this match Hércules is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sant Andreu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sant Andreu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Sant Andreu
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
17.09.23	CE Europa - Sant Andreu	3:0 ✺
10.09.23	Sant Andreu - Cerdanyola del Vallès	3:4 ✺
02.09.23	Penya Independent - Sant Andreu	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.23	Vilassar de Mar - Sant Andreu	0:1 ✺
12.08.23	Cornellà - Sant Andreu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWWL
- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
17.09.23	Hércules - Torrent	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Formentera - Hércules	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	Hércules - Espanyol B	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.08.23	Hércules - UCAM Murcia	3:0 ✺
23.08.23	Torrellano - Hércules	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
15.02.15	Sant Andreu - Hércules	2:1
28.09.14	Hércules - Sant Andreu	2:0

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