Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Camp Municipal Narcís Sala (Barcelona)


	Sant Andreu		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.25	1.91
	4.1	3.4	1.93
	3.75	3.25	1.95	Watch
	3.87	3.29	1.96
	3.89	3.23	1.92	Watch
	4	3.25	1.83	Watch
	4.28	3.36	1.92
	3.75	3.25	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↓ (4.11)	3.29 ↓ (3.49)	1.92 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sant Andreu
23.3%

Draw
28.3%

Mirandés
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

26.5%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

28.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sant Andreu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sant Andreu than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mirandés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sant Andreu - Mirandés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Torreguitart Nil (G) 5. Lucas E. 21. Pelegrin Toni 15. Mendez J. 3. Castillo S. 8. Albertito 12. Torices D. 7. Darbra P. 14. Serrano S. 18. Marcos Gorriti 20. Paredes Toni	1. Lopez L. (G) 2. Rincon Lumbreras H. 33. Gonzalez V. P. 4. Egiluz U. 20. Martin A. 3. Alonso J. 10. Reina A. 26. Bassinga A. 8. Homenchenko S. 28. Dadie Izagirre A. 27. Roca J.
Substitutes
26. Castello D. 9. Forgas E. 11. Gallego J. 16. Garcia A. 2. Gomez G. T. 6. Guzman C. 17. Jurado 1. Mourin Hernandez E. (G) 10. Oliva G. 22. Rodriguez J. 24. Santiago P.	36. Alutiz H. 13. Fernandez R. (G) 6. Gorrotxategi J. 22. Gutierrez J. 19. Lachuer M. 30. Ortiz A. 9. Panichelli J. 15. Tomeo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Lucas E. ⚽, Marcos Gorriti (A),
25', 1 - 1, Homenchenko S. ⚽,
29', Pelegrin Toni 🟨,
43', Alonso J. 🟨,
43', Marcos Gorriti 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Egiluz U. ↓, Panichelli J. ↑,
46', Reina A. ↓, Tomeo P. ↑,
57', Bassinga A. 🟨,
60', Marcos Gorriti ↓, Jurado M. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Paredes Toni ⚽,
73', Jurado M. 🟨,
73', Albertito ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
80', Torices D. ↓, Guzman C. ↑,
81', Paredes Toni ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
81', Serrano S. ↓, Oliva G. ↑,
87', Darbra P. 🟨,
90+4', Homenchenko S. 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Sant Andreu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mirandés is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Sant Andreu
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
26.10.24	Sant Andreu - Alzira	0:0 ✺
20.10.24	Olot - Sant Andreu	1:1 ✺
13.10.24	Sant Andreu - Sabadell	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Sant Andreu - Atlético Baleares	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Cornellà - Sant Andreu	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTWWL
- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.24	Mirandés - Cartagena	3:1 ✺
22.10.24	Real Oviedo - Mirandés	4:1 ✺
19.10.24	Mirandés - Eibar	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Burgos - Mirandés	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Mirandés - Granada	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLWWL

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