Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 41

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Anduva (Miranda de Ebro)

Referee: De Aza M. H. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Mirandés		Granada

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	6.25	Watch
	1.58	4	4.75
	1.45	4.35	6.1	Watch
	1.48	4.5	7.2
	1.48	4.29	6.91	Watch
	1.44	4	6.5
	1.47	4.53	7.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.71)	4.29 ↑ (3.86)	6.39 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandés
63.4%

Draw
21.9%

Granada
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

24.4%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

22.5%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirandés's performance.

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Granada might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirandés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Granada could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.6%	5.3%	13.2%

Mirandés - Granada Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Granada (4.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Mirandés (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mirandés will win (31 of 38 users predict this - 81.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.25% – 93.91%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Mirandés (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Granada (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Juanpa (G) 17. Perez P. 22. Gutierrez J. (C) 15. Cabello J. 3. Medrano F. 18. Bauza R. 6. Helguera T. 28. Hernandez J. 10. Fernandez C. 30. El Jebari S. 48. del Cura U.	13. Astralaga A. (G) 2. Casadesus P. 36. Juanjo 3. Hormigo D. 22. Diallo B. 20. Ruiz S. (C) 14. Trigueros M. 41. Gonzalez I. 21. Saenz P. 11. Arnaiz J. M. 26. Rodelas S.
Substitutes
24. Cordoba I. 11. Malsa M. 19. Maras N. 42. Martinez Landa J. 8. Martin Luis A. 1. Nikic I. (G) 4. Pascual M. 5. Pica A. 21. Postigo S. 27. Tamarit T. 7. Varela I.	10. Bouldini M. 39. Dembele B. 40. Diocou B. 23. Gagnidze L. 27. Gambin M. 34. Garcia I. (G) 5. Lama M. 9. Petit G.
Coaches
Muneta A.	Rojo Martin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', Juanjo 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, del Cura U. ⚽, Hernandez J. (A),
41', 1 - 1, Arnaiz J. M. ⚽, Trigueros M. (A),
45', 2 - 1, Hernandez J. ⚽, Perez P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Diallo B. ↓, Diocou B. ↑,
46', Rodelas S. ↓, Lama M. ↑,
49', Fernandez C. ↓, Martin Luis A. ↑,
53', Hernandez J. 🟨,
58', 3 - 1, del Cura U. ⚽, Bauza R. (A),
70', Arnaiz J. M. ↓, Petit G. ↑,
70', Ruiz S. ↓, Gambin M. ↑,
74', Gambin M. 🟨,
75', del Cura U. ↓, Tamarit T. ↑,
78', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
85', Perez P. ↓, Pascual M. ↑,
86', Bauza R. ↓, Martinez Landa J. ↑,
86', El Jebari S. ↓, Malsa M. ↑,
87', Lama M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Mirandés is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Mirandés: Balde S. (Injury) Clua S. (Injury) Lopez P. (Knee Injury) Mari A. (Leg Injury) Novoa Ramos H. (Yellow Cards) Varela I. (Coach's decision)

There will not play in Granada: Alcaraz R. (Yellow Cards) Aleman P. (Inactive) Lama M. (Injury) Lemos A. (Injury) Sola A. (Yellow Cards) Zidane L. (Broken jawbone) Zinebi R. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirandés won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mirandés won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Granada CF	8	3	2	3	13:13	0	11

Last Results with these Odds

Granada - the odds 4.6 are the expected chance of winning is 20.49%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
16.05.26	Real Sociedad B - Mirandés	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Mirandés - Eibar	0:1 ✺
04.05.26	Almería - Mirandés	4:2 ✺
26.04.26	Mirandés - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Mirandés	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLLWL
- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
16.05.26	Granada - Burgos	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Córdoba - Granada	1:0 ✺
01.05.26	Zaragoza - Granada	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Granada - Almería	2:4 ✺
19.04.26	Albacete Balompié - Granada	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
31.08.25	Granada - Mirandés	1:2
08.02.25	Granada - Mirandés	0:0
05.10.24	Mirandés - Granada	0:1
20.05.23	Mirandés - Granada	1:3
17.09.22	Granada - Mirandés	2:1

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