Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Santa Cruz PFA		Municipal Grecia

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.88
	2.06	3.45	2.94
	2.13	3.73	3.02	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3
	2.08	3.45	3.02
	1.92	3.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.12)	3.45 ↓ (3.52)	2.99 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz PFA
43.6%

Draw
26.2%

Municipal Grecia
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

25.9%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

25.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz PFA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Municipal Grecia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz PFA than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Grecia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Santa Cruz PFA - Municipal Grecia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grecia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90', 🟥,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 5)

Santa Cruz is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Grecia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Santa Cruz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Santa Cruz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz PFA
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
01.03.26	Jicaral - Santa Cruz PFA	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Santa Cruz PFA - Deportivo Upala	3:3 ✺
11.02.26	Sarchi - Santa Cruz PFA	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Santa Cruz PFA - Quepos	1:2 ✺
02.02.26	Inter San Carlos - Santa Cruz PFA	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTLLL
- Municipal Grecia
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
28.02.26	Municipal Grecia - Deportivo Upala	2:2 ✺
25.02.26	Municipal Grecia - Sarchi	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Quepos - Municipal Grecia	3:2 ✺
15.02.26	Municipal Grecia - Inter San Carlos	1:2 ✺
12.02.26	Cofutpa - Municipal Grecia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
17.01.26	Municipal Grecia - Santa Cruz PFA	1:0
08.10.25	Municipal Grecia - Santa Cruz PFA	2:3
23.08.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Municipal Grecia	2:1

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