Match Info

Date: 21 April 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Santa Cruz Recife		Salgueiro

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.5
	1.8	3.2	4.33
	1.88	3.05	3.8
	1.75	3.3	4.3
	1.76	3.52	4.69
	1.8	3.25	4.2
	1.77	3.4	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.93)	3.27 ↑ (3.24)	4.32 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife
51%

Draw
27.9%

Salgueiro
21.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47%

28%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

19.4%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Salgueiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Cruz Recife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salgueiro than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salgueiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santa Cruz Recife - Salgueiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 4 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Pernambucano (Play Offs: Quartertofinals)).

The competitors look crappy now.

Salgueiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Santa Cruz is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Santa Cruz won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
18.04.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Santa Cruz Recife	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.04.21	Cianorte - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
10.04.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Botafogo PB	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
07.04.21	Santa Cruz Recife - Vera Cruz	4:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.04.21	Altos - Santa Cruz Recife	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL
- Salgueiro
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
18.04.21	Salgueiro - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
14.04.21	Vera Cruz - Salgueiro	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
10.04.21	Ceará - Salgueiro	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
07.04.21	Salgueiro - Náutico Capibaribe	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
04.04.21	Salgueiro - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
11.03.21	Salgueiro - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
05.08.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Salgueiro	0:1 penalties
02.08.20	Salgueiro - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1
11.02.20	Santa Cruz Recife - Salgueiro	2:1
06.03.19	Salgueiro - Santa Cruz Recife	2:0
Brazilian Serie C
11.08.18	Santa Cruz Recife - Salgueiro	1:0
11.06.18	Salgueiro - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0

Santa Cruz Recife - Salgueiro

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz Recife - Salgueiro Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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