Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 21

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Santa Maria Cilento		Matera

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	1.98
	3.35	2.97	2.12
	3.4	3.2	1.91
	3.44	3.06	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↓ (3.6)	3.08 ↑ (3)	2.03 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Maria Cilento
26.5%

Draw
29.2%

Matera
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

30.1%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

29.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Maria Cilento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Matera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Maria Cilento than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matera than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group H (Play Out: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Matera will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Santa Maria Cilento won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Maria Cilento
Italian Serie D - Group H
21.01.24	Bitonto - Santa Maria Cilento	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Santa Maria Cilento - Barletta	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Gallipoli - Santa Maria Cilento	1:0 ✺
20.12.23	Nardo - Santa Maria Cilento	0:1 ✺
10.12.23	Santa Maria Cilento - Città di Fasano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.8 LTLWT
- FC Matera
Italian Serie D - Group H
21.01.24	Matera - Paganese	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Angri - Matera	1:1 ✺
07.01.24	Matera - Città di Fasano	1:0 ✺
20.12.23	Matera - Altamura	0:1 ✺
17.12.23	Martina Calcio - Matera	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
01.10.23	Matera - Santa Maria Cilento	1:1

Santa Maria Cilento - Matera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide