Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP H - ROUND 20

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday


	Matera		Paganese

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.2
	2.19	2.93	3.27
	2	3.1	3.1
	2.11	3.13	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.03)	3.04 ↑ (3.02)	3.22 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matera
42.7%

Draw
29.5%

Paganese
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

30.2%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

31.2%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Paganese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matera than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paganese than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

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Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 6 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Matera won 1.

Recent matches Matera is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paganese is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Matera will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Matera won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Matera won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Matera
Italian Serie D - Group H
14.01.24	Angri - Matera	1:1 ✺
07.01.24	Matera - Città di Fasano	1:0 ✺
20.12.23	Matera - Altamura	0:1 ✺
17.12.23	Martina Calcio - Matera	2:0 ✺
10.12.23	Matera - Casarano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWLLW
- Paganese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
14.01.24	Paganese - Nardo	1:1 ✺
07.01.24	Barletta - Paganese	0:1 ✺
20.12.23	Paganese - Città di Fasano	2:1 ✺
10.12.23	Paganese - Angri	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	Altamura - Paganese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
24.09.23	Paganese - Matera	4:1
Italian Serie C Group C
12.12.18	Paganese - Matera	2:2
11.02.18	Paganese - Matera	1:0
29.09.17	Matera - Paganese	2:1
29.12.16	Paganese - Matera	1:1
04.09.16	Matera - Paganese	2:1
16.04.16	Paganese - Matera	4:0

Matera - Paganese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide