Match Info
Copa Federacion - 1/8-finalsDate: 16 September 2026, Wednesday
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 |
|
 |
|
|
Derio |
|
Salamanca |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.10 |
3.00 |
2.10 |
|
 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
2.08 |
|
 |
3.2 |
3.07 |
2.05 |
|
 |
3.28 |
3.23 |
2.12 |
 Watch |
 |
3.1 |
3 |
2 |
|
 |
3.24 |
3.15 |
2.07 |
|
 |
3.1 |
3.15 |
2.09 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.16 ↑
(3.05) |
3.1 ↓
(3.17) |
2.07 ↓
(2.11) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Derio
28.2% | Draw
28.8% | Salamanca
43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derio than the current prediction. (+0.7%)The ML Model estimate for Salamanca aligns with the current prediction.Derio - Salamanca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 3)
- 14', 0 - 1, Vicandi A. ⚽,
- 17', 0 - 2, Caramelo A. ⚽,
- 30', 1 - 2, Carreras Arino G. ⚽,
- 41', 1 - 3, Caramelo A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45', 2 - 3, Carreras Arino G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 63', Carreras Arino G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 63', 3 - 3, Carreras Arino G. ⚽,
- Extra Time (0 - 2)
- 114', 3 - 4, Ander J. ⚽,
- 119', 🟥,
- 119', 🟥,
- 120+2', 3 - 5, ⚽,
Preview
In recent matches, Derio has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Salamanca is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).Salamanca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Salamanca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match. Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
Last Results with these Odds
Salamanca - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 42.42%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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