Match Info

Paraense - Round 6

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Abelardo Conduru (Belem)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Santa Rosa		Paysandu

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.87	1.93
	4.05	2.98	1.98
	4.01	3.03	1.92
	3.95	3.11	1.93
	3.9	2.88	1.95
	4.05	3.02	1.91
	4	3.14	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↓ (4.09)	3 ↓ (3.02)	1.93 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Rosa
22.8%

Draw
30.2%

Paysandu
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

30.2%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Rosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Santa Rosa - Paysandu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Italo ⚽,
85', 0 - 2, Marcinho ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Santa Rosa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Paysandu is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santa Rosa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Rosa EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
08.02.26	Santa Rosa - Bragantino do Pará	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Castanhal - Santa Rosa	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Águia de Marabá - Santa Rosa	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Remo - Santa Rosa	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Santa Rosa - São Francisco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLLW
- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
08.02.26	Paysandu - Remo	1:1 ✺
04.02.26	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Paysandu - Capitão Poço	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Paysandu - São Raimundo PA	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.11.25	Athletic Club - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
20.01.24	Paysandu - Santa Rosa	1:0

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