Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 17

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Santanyí		Felanitx

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.82	3.25
	2.21	2.94	3.4
	2.2	2.75	3.3
	2.19	2.91	3.32
	2.16	2.9	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.2)	2.86 ↓ (2.9)	3.33 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santanyí
41.3%

Draw
31.6%

Felanitx
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

31.7%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

26.4%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santanyí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Felanitx has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santanyí than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santanyí that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felanitx than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Santanyí - Felanitx Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', 1 - 1, ⚽,
88', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16).

Santanyí has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Felanitx has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Santanyí will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santanyí won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Santanyí won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Santanyi	5	2	3	0	5:3	2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santanyí
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
04.01.26	Peña Deportiva - Santanyí	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Santanyí - Portmany	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Rotlet Molinar - Santanyí	5:1 ✺
06.12.25	Santanyí - Collerense	0:0 ✺
26.11.25	Santanyí - Inter Ibiza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TWLTL
- CE Felanitx
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
04.01.26	Felanitx - Son Cladera	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Alcúdia - Felanitx	2:1 ✺
13.12.25	Felanitx - Mallorca B	0:1 ✺
04.12.25	Platges de Calvià - Felanitx	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Felanitx - Formentera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
06.10.24	Santanyí - Felanitx	2:0
29.03.24	Felanitx - Santanyí	3:1
11.11.23	Santanyí - Felanitx	1:0
09.04.22	Santanyí - Felanitx	1:2
08.12.21	Felanitx - Santanyí	0:4

Santanyí - Felanitx: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide