Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 11 - ROUND 8

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Constancia		Arenal

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.78	5.73
	1.46	3.98	6.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.85)	3.88 ↑ (3.4)	5.89 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Constancia
61.3%

Draw
23.3%

Arenal
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

26.6%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

25.6%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Constancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Constancia's performance.

Arenal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arenal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constancia than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Constancia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenal than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arenal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13).

Recent matches Constancia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arenal is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Constancia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Constancia will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Constancia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
22.10.23	Binissalem - Constancia	1:0 ✺
14.10.23	Constancia - Inter Manacor	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Mercadal - Constancia	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Constancia - Felanitx	3:0 ✺
24.09.23	Platges de Calvià - Constancia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWTWL
- UD Arenal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
14.10.23	Arenal - Ibiza Islas Pitiusas	0:2 ✺
07.10.23	Binissalem - Arenal	1:0 ✺
24.09.23	Mercadal - Arenal	2:0 ✺
16.09.23	Arenal - Felanitx	2:1 ✺
09.09.23	Platges de Calvià - Arenal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWL

Constancia - Arenal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide