Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Santanyí		Formentera

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.88	2.25
	3.18	2.89	2.28
	3.23	2.91	2.31
	3	2.8	2.3
	3.22	2.88	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (3.12)	2.87 ↑ (2.86)	2.28 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santanyí
28.8%

Draw
31.5%

Formentera
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

31.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

31.4%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santanyí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Formentera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santanyí than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Santanyí - Formentera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 1)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 13).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Santanyí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Formentera is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Santanyí won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Santanyí won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Santanyi	5	2	3	0	5:3	2	9
9	Formentera	5	2	2	1	7:4	3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Formentera - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.39%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santanyí
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
21.02.26	Inter Ibiza - Santanyí	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Santanyí - Llosetense	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Cardassar - Santanyí	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Santanyí - Manacor	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Mercadal - Santanyí	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTWTL
- SD Formentera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
22.02.26	Formentera - Son Cladera	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Alcúdia - Formentera	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Formentera - Mallorca B	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Constancia - Formentera	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Formentera - Inter Ibiza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
19.10.25	Formentera - Santanyí	0:0
09.02.25	Santanyí - Formentera	1:4
29.11.20	Santanyí - Formentera	1:0
24.11.19	Santanyí - Formentera	0:3

Santanyí - Formentera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide