Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 19Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday
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Constancia |
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Formentera |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.95 |
3.05 |
3.65 |
|
 |
1.96 |
3.01 |
3.89 |
|
 |
1.02 |
12.22 |
25.00 |
 Watch |
 |
1.95 |
2.88 |
3.8 |
|
 |
1.95 |
3.02 |
3.89 |
|
 |
1.95 |
3.1 |
3.8 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↓
(1.97) |
4.55 ↑
(3.3) |
7.34 ↑
(3.55) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Constancia
61% | Draw
24.1% | Formentera
14.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Constancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Constancia's performance.Formentera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Formentera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Constancia than the current prediction. (-12.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Constancia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Formentera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Constancia - Formentera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 31', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 45+1', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 76', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 and 9).Constancia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).Formentera's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Constancia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Constancia might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Constancia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:10. (average 1.6:2).Including home matches between the teams, Constancia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Constancia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 10 |
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| 9 | Formentera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 | | | 14.09.25 | Formentera - Constancia | 2:2 | | 06.04.25 | Constancia - Formentera | 3:2 | | 24.11.24 | Formentera - Constancia | 1:1 | | 16.05.21 | Constancia - Formentera | 2:1 | | 09.02.20 | Constancia - Formentera | 0:4 |
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