Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A2 - Round 10

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, TV Cultura, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Santo André		Ituano

	1	X	2
	2.47	2.95	2.8	Watch
	2.52	2.96	2.84
	2.48	3.02	2.83	Watch
	2.47	3.23	2.82
	2.47	2.95	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.7)	3.02 ↓ (3.24)	2.82 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santo André
37%

Draw
30.4%

Ituano
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

28.3%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

27.9%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santo André has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Ituano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ituano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Santo André - Ituano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Rafael Milhorim ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', Erik 🟥,
80', 2 - 0, Alexiel ⚽,
90', 2 - 1, Nathan ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, Luiz Gustavo ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santo André won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Santo André won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:14 (average 0.6:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Santo André won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santo André
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
12.02.25	São José-SP - Santo André	1:3 ✺
09.02.25	Ferroviária - Santo André	2:2 ✺
05.02.25	Santo André - Rio Claro	5:1 ✺
02.02.25	Piracicaba - Santo André	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Santo André - Votuporanguense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTWLL
- Ituano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
12.02.25	Ituano - EC Primavera	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Portuguesa Santista - Ituano	3:3 ✺
05.02.25	Ituano - Linense	3:0 ✺
01.02.25	Ituano - São José-SP	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	São Bento - Ituano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
19.02.23	Ituano - Santo André	2:0
05.03.22	Santo André - Ituano	0:0
13.05.21	Ituano - Santo André	5:1
09.05.21	Ituano - Santo André	0:1
26.07.20	Santo André - Ituano	1:3
25.01.18	Ituano - Santo André	0:0
28.04.17	Santo André - Ituano	1:1

Santo André - Ituano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide