Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A2 - Round 8

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ulrico Mursa (Santos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, TV Cultura, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Portuguesa Santista		Ituano

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.1	2.15
	3.25	3	2.19
	3.41	3	2.21
	3.23	3.1	2.2	Watch
	3.25	2.9	2.2
	3.05	3.3	2.29	Watch
	3.25	3	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.95)	3.06 ↓ (3.2)	2.2 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portuguesa Santista
28.3%

Draw
30%

Ituano
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

28.5%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

27%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portuguesa Santista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa Santista than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Portuguesa Santista - Ituano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Neto Berola ⚽,
44', 0 - 2, Yann Rolim ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
52', 1 - 2, ⚽,
53', 2 - 2, ⚽,
66', 3 - 2, ⚽,
88', 3 - 3, Fernandinho ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Portuguesa Santista is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ituano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ituano will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portuguesa Santista
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
05.02.25	São Bento - Portuguesa Santista	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Linense - Portuguesa Santista	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	Portuguesa Santista - Piracicaba	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Portuguesa Santista - Santo André	0:2 ✺
22.01.25	CA Juventus - Portuguesa Santista	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLLL
- Ituano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
05.02.25	Ituano - Linense	3:0 ✺
01.02.25	Ituano - São José-SP	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	São Bento - Ituano	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Ituano - CA Juventus	1:0 ✺
22.01.25	Ferroviária - Ituano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTTWL

Portuguesa Santista - Ituano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide