Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 10

Date: 24 June 2023, Saturday


	Santo André		Portuguesa RJ

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.85	3.1
	2.3	2.65	3.3
	2.36	2.64	3.31
	2.2	2.75	3.2
	2.25	3.02	3.22
	2.35	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.72)	2.8 ↑ (2.72)	3.19 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santo André
39.6%

Draw
32.2%

Portuguesa RJ
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santo André has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santo André's performance.

Portuguesa RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portuguesa RJ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santo André than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santo André that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portuguesa RJ than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Santo André - Portuguesa RJ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Recent matches Santo André is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portuguesa RJ is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Santo André won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Santo André won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santo André
Brazilian Serie D
17.06.23	Santo André - Athletic Club	0:1 ✺
14.06.23	Noroeste - Santo André	0:3 ✺
10.06.23	Santo André - Noroeste	2:0 ✺
07.06.23	Athletic Club - Santo André	4:2 ✺
03.06.23	Portuguesa RJ - Santo André	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWLL
- Portuguesa RJ
Brazilian Serie D
17.06.23	Vitória ES - Portuguesa RJ	0:1 ✺
14.06.23	Portuguesa RJ - Democrata GV	4:1 ✺
11.06.23	Democrata GV - Portuguesa RJ	1:0 ✺
07.06.23	Portuguesa RJ - Vitória ES	3:2 ✺
03.06.23	Portuguesa RJ - Santo André	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
03.06.23	Portuguesa RJ - Santo André	3:0
11.06.22	Portuguesa RJ - Santo André	1:0
21.05.22	Santo André - Portuguesa RJ	1:0

Santo André - Portuguesa RJ: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide