Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Santomera		Águilas B

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.05	2.45
	2.83	3.14	2.42
	2.67	3.02	2.67	Watch
	2.71	3.05	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.32)	3.07 ↓ (3.1)	2.49 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santomera
33.6%

Draw
29.7%

Águilas B
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.2%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

29.5%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santomera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santomera's form might have worsened.

Águilas B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santomera than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santomera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas B than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Águilas B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Santomera - Águilas B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Araujo J. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Araujo J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 2 - 1, Nico ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, Ocheche S. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Santomera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Santomera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Santomera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santomera CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
09.11.25	UCAM Murcia B - Santomera	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Santomera - Mazarrón	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	El Palmar - Santomera	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Santomera - Deportivo Marítimo	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Unión Molinense - Santomera	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TLTLW
- Águilas FC B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
08.11.25	Águilas B - Caravaca	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	Cieza - Águilas B	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Águilas B - Bala Azul	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Olímpico de Totana - Águilas B	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Águilas B - Cartagena B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
19.03.25	Santomera - Águilas B	2:0
20.10.24	Águilas B - Santomera	1:0

Santomera - Águilas B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide