Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Santomera		Minerva

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.05	3.55
	1.91	3.09	4.15
	1.01	13.24	25.00	Watch
	1.9	3.08	3.99
	1.88	3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.34)	5.09 ↑ (2.94)	8.18 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Santomera
64.4%

Draw
21.9%

Minerva
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

31.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

30.7%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santomera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santomera's performance.

Minerva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Minerva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santomera than the current prediction. (-24.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santomera that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minerva than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Minerva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santomera - Minerva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
34', 🟥,
45', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
77', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Santomera is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Minerva's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Santomera won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Santomera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santomera CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
22.11.25	Pulpileño - Santomera	3:2 ✺
16.11.25	Santomera - Águilas B	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	UCAM Murcia B - Santomera	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Santomera - Mazarrón	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	El Palmar - Santomera	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTTLT
- SFC Minerva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
23.11.25	Minerva - Caravaca	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Cieza - Minerva	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Minerva - Bala Azul	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Olímpico de Totana - Minerva	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Minerva - Cartagena B	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
06.04.25	Minerva - Santomera	2:2
24.11.24	Santomera - Minerva	0:0

Santomera - Minerva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide