Match Info

BRAZIL: Brasileiro Women - Round 11

Date: 17 May 2024, Friday

Location: Vila Belmiro (Sao Paulo)


	Santos		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.9	1.53
	4.43	4.15	1.56
	4.43	4.15	1.56
	4.96	4.11	1.57
	4.9	4	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.69 ↑ (4.44)	4.06 ↑ (3.58)	1.55 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
19.3%

Draw
22.3%

Cruzeiro
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

25.5%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

25.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Santos - Cruzeiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. McDaniel O. (G) 2. Camila Martins 16. Cida 6. Janaina 37. Karla Alves 7. Ketlen (C) 17. Larissa Vasconcelos 5. Maria Alves 22. Menendez M. 8. Pires S. 32. Vitoria Kaissa	31. Taty Amaro (G) 10. Byanca Brasil (C) 14. Camila Ambrozio 6. Clara Consani 27. Mari Pires 22. Nina 8. Rafa Andrade 5. Rebeca Costa 17. Sandoval F. 7. Vanessinha 33. Vitoria Calhau
Substitutes
19. Carol Baiana 11. Charcopa N. 1. Chiavaro K. (G) 3. Dani Silva 20. Erikinha 12. Karen Hipolito (G) 13. Kelly 33. Laura Valverde 4. Livia Mathias 24. Narvaez A. 26. Paola 18. Rose H.	23. Carol 3. Farias D. 19. Fernanda Tipa 42. Jully (G) 1. Luana Guitarrari (G) 9. Luana Lima 26. Luaninha 20. Marilia Furiel 11. Miria

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Vanessinha ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, Rafa Andrade ⚽,
45+3', Camila Martins 🟨,
45+3', Vanessinha 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Camila Martins ↓, Livia Mathias ↑,
46', Menendez M. ↓, Carol Baiana ↑,
64', Vitoria Calhau 🟨,
67', Ketlen (Pen),
67', 1 - 2, Karla Alves ⚽,
68', 1 - 3, Vanessinha ⚽,
72', Rafa Andrade 🟨,
73', 🟨,
75', Rafa Andrade ↓, Luaninha ↑,
75', Nina ↓, Farias D. ↑,
88', Mari Pires ↓, Carol ↑,
88', Byanca Brasil ↓, Miria ↑,
89', 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Santos is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cruzeiro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cruzeiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Cruzeiro have a series of home games.

In this match Cruzeiro is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Santos won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Santos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC Women
Brasileiro Women
11.05.24	Palmeiras - Santos	6:0 ✺
02.05.24	Santos - Fluminense	0:1 ✺
29.04.24	Flamengo - Santos	7:0 ✺
20.04.24	Kindermann-Avaí - Santos	1:3 ✺
12.04.24	Santos - Corinthians	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL
- Cruzeiro MG Women
Brasileiro Women
11.05.24	Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ	3:0 ✺
06.05.24	Cruzeiro - Palmeiras	1:2 ✺
27.04.24	Cruzeiro - América Mineiro	1:3 ✺
21.04.24	Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro	0:4 ✺
13.04.24	Cruzeiro - Real Brasilia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
06.05.23	Cruzeiro - Santos	2:3
15.06.22	Cruzeiro - Santos	4:2
24.06.21	Santos - Cruzeiro	1:2
17.02.20	Santos - Cruzeiro	2:0

Santos - Cruzeiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide