Match Info

BRAZIL: Brasileiro Women - Round 8

Date: 2 May 2024, Thursday

Location: Vila Belmiro (Sao Paulo)


	Santos		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	2.95
	1.9	3.24	3.65
	2.24	3.36	3.05
	2.1	3.2	2.9
	2.24	3.25	3.06
	2.05	3.45	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.77)	3.28 ↓ (3.48)	3.12 ↓ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
43.2%

Draw
27.7%

Fluminense
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.5%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

23.9%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santos's form might have worsened.

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fluminense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fluminense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Santos - Fluminense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. McDaniel O. (G) 2. Camila Martins 19. Carol Baiana 6. Janaina 37. Karla Alves 7. Ketlen 17. Larissa Vasconcelos 5. Maria Alves 24. Narvaez A. 8. Pires S. 10. Thaisinha (C)	12. Amanda Coimbra (G) 17. Camila Pini 9. Carla Nunes 5. Claudinha 33. Cotrim 3. Gislaine (C) 20. Kamilla 8. Karina 21. Lurdinha 28. Nay Brozinga 15. Sorriso
Substitutes
1. Chiavaro K. (G) 16. Cida 3. Dani Silva 12. Karen Hipolito (G) 13. Kelly 15. Leidiane 4. Livia Mathias 22. Menendez M. 26. Paola 28. Pereira M. 18. Rose H.	11. Annaysa 18. Camila Oliveira 31. Carina 2. Gabi Zidoi 7. Geovana Alves 1. Leticia (G) 22. Milena Martins 14. Mileninha 6. Nath Branco 30. Vero Marques 16. Yasmin Cosman

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Narvaez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', Larissa Vasconcelos ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
70', Carla Nunes ↓, Annaysa ↑,
78', Janaina ↓, Cida ↑,
82', Nay Brozinga ↓, Geovana Alves ↑,
84', 🟨,
87', Lurdinha ↓, Mileninha ↑,
90', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 and 13 in the zone Relegation ~ Brasileiro A2 Women).

Santos is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fluminense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fluminense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Santos will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC Women
Brasileiro Women
29.04.24	Flamengo - Santos	7:0 ✺
20.04.24	Kindermann-Avaí - Santos	1:3 ✺
12.04.24	Santos - Corinthians	1:3 ✺
29.03.24	Santos - Red Bull Bragantino	0:2 ✺
24.03.24	América Mineiro - Santos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL
- Fluminense RJ Women
Brasileiro Women
28.04.24	Corinthians - Fluminense	5:0 ✺
20.04.24	Fluminense - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
14.04.24	Ferroviária - Fluminense	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	Fluminense - São Paulo	0:2 ✺
24.03.24	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Fluminense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL

Santos - Fluminense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide