Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 11

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Urbano Caldeira (Santos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, N Sports, Sky+, Vivo Play


	Santos		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.75
	2.28	3.05	2.88
	2.26	2.98	3.19
	2.39	2.86	3.32	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.15	3.24	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.45)	3.01 ↓ (3.28)	3.03 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
40%

Draw
30.1%

Red Bull Bragantino
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

27.7%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

27.7%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Red Bull Bragantino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Red Bull Bragantino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Bull Bragantino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santos - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Taty Amaro (G) 4. Ana Alice 17. Analuyza 34. Bonifacio E. 22. Evellyn Marques 97. Katrine 2. Larissa Vasconcelos 11. Laryh 18. Leticia Santos 8. Pires S. 3. Rafa Martins	12. Thalya (G) 20. Camila Ambrozio 28. Catarina 9. Del Trecco M. 15. Je Soares 31. Lurdinha 32. Marzia 21. Miria 13. Mylena 17. Rafa Mineira 2. Tamires
Substitutes
9. Carol Baiana 20. Eudimilla 32. Giulia Giovanna 21. Ingrid A. 6. Isabela 7. Ketlen 19. Larroquette M. 35. Luiza M. 5. Nath Pitbull 33. Pardal 13. Samara Venceslau 1. Stefane (G)	33. Alissa 25. Bermudez K. 7. Carol Tavares 23. Ester 6. Gabi Medeiros 11. Gaby Santos 19. Gessica 16. Ilana 29. Janyele 22. Leticia (G) 5. Valverde

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Leticia Santos 🟨,
23', Mylena 🟨,
45+4', Rafa Martins 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Leticia Santos ↓, Carol Baiana ↑,
58', Laryh ↓, Eudimilla ↑,
59', Analuyza ↓, Larroquette M. ↑,
66', Ana Alice 🟨,
87', 0 - 1, Del Trecco M. (Penalty Awarded),
89', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bragantino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Santos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC Women
Brazilian Paulista Women
14.05.26	Santos - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Brasileiro Women
09.05.26	Fluminense - Santos	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
06.05.26	Ferroviária - Santos	2:1 ✺
Brasileiro Women
01.05.26	Santos - Internacional	0:3 ✺
27.04.26	Palmeiras - Santos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWLLT
- Red Bull Bragantino Women
Brazilian Paulista Women
14.05.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Corinthians	0:6 ✺
Brasileiro Women
10.05.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
06.05.26	Taubaté - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
Brasileiro Women
03.05.26	Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino	0:3 ✺
26.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Cruzeiro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista Women
30.11.25	Santos - Red Bull Bragantino	2:3
Brazilian Paulista Women
16.11.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Santos	3:2
02.10.25	Santos - Red Bull Bragantino	0:1
Brazilian Copa Paulista Women
10.11.24	Santos - Red Bull Bragantino	4:0 penalties
05.11.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Santos	4:1
Brazilian Paulista Women
12.06.24	Santos - Red Bull Bragantino	0:1
Brasileiro Women
29.03.24	Santos - Red Bull Bragantino	0:2

Santos - Red Bull Bragantino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide