Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 1

Date: 16 February 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Urbano Caldeira (Santos)


	Santos		Grêmio Porto Alegrense

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.2	6.5
	1.7	3.6	3.95
	1.76	3.75	4.18
	1.72	4	4.18	Watch
	1.75	3.4	3.8
	1.74	3.85	4.27
	1.71	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.28)	3.79 ↓ (5.1)	4.44 ↓ (9.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
54.9%

Draw
24.3%

Grêmio Porto Alegrense
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.2%

18%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santos's form might have worsened.

Grêmio Porto Alegrense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grêmio Porto Alegrense's recent form is better than expected.

Santos - Grêmio Porto Alegrense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Taty Amaro (G) 4. Ana Alice 20. Eudimilla 22. Evellyn Marques 6. Isabela 97. Katrine 11. Laryh 8. Pires S. 88. Rafa Andrade 70. Rincon Y. 25. Vivian	1. Raissa Tayna (G) 16. Arrieta C. 10. Brenda Woch 27. Dani Barao 99. Giovaninha 15. Iara 13. Leidiane 80. Marquez R. 7. Pini 20. Ramos M. 3. Rodriguez M.
Substitutes
17. Analuyza 16. Barbara Cuzzuol 37. Camile 9. Carol Baiana 32. Giulia Giovanna 2. Larissa Vasconcelos 19. Larroquette M. 14. Leandra Salomao 35. Luiza M. 12. Mayara (G) 5. Nath Pitbull 3. Rafa Martins	2. Allyne 5. Amanda Brunner 21. Brito 4. Day Silva 17. Luana Spindler 12. Lucilene (G) 32. Maria 6. Montoya D. 30. Moreno K. 11. Rodriguez Y. 9. Valeria Paula

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Katrine ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Ana Alice ⚽,
22', Dani Barao 🟨,
29', Arrieta C. 🟨,
37', Rafa Andrade 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Brenda Woch ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
55', Pires S. 🟨,
64', Iara ↓, Montoya D. ↑,
67', Rincon Y. ↓, Larroquette M. ↑,
67', Katrine ↓, Larissa Vasconcelos ↑,
71', Arrieta C. ↓, Allyne ↑,
71', Leidiane ↓, Valeria Paula ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Allyne ⚽,
84', Laryh ↓, Carol Baiana ↑,
84', Pires S. ↓, Analuyza ↑,
89', Larissa Vasconcelos ↓, Rafa Martins ↑,
90+3', Eudimilla ↓, Nath Pitbull ↑,
90+6', Ramos M. ↓, Maria ↑,

Preview

In this match, Santos is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos FC Women
Brazilian Copa Paulista Women
30.11.25	Santos - Red Bull Bragantino	2:3 ✺
26.11.25	Santos - Taubaté	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Santos - São José-SP	8:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
16.11.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Santos	3:2 ✺
13.11.25	Santos - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWLT
- Grêmio Porto Alegrense Women
Brazilian Gaucho Women
23.11.25	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Juventude	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Juventude - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	0:3 ✺
01.11.25	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Brasil de Farroupilha	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Brasil de Farroupilha - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	0:0 ✺
Brasil Ladies Cup Women
19.10.25	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Palmeiras	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
23.06.24	Santos - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	2:0
01.04.23	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Santos	1:0
25.04.22	Santos - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	2:1
10.05.21	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Santos	1:2
01.03.20	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Santos	0:2

Santos - Grêmio Porto Alegrense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide