Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 8

Date: 30 May 2023, Tuesday


	Santos		Unión Huaral

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	3.25
	2	3.1	3.6
	2.17	3.12	3.28
	2.38	2.9	2.88
	2.15	3.13	3.32	Watch
	2.1	2.95	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.37)	3.02 ↑ (2.92)	3.27 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
42.1%

Draw
30.1%

Unión Huaral
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

31%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

32.5%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Unión Huaral has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Huaral than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	30%	40%

Santos - Unión Huaral Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Unión Huaral will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión Huaral: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santos won 2.

Recent matches Santos is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Unión Huaral is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Santos won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Santos won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos de Nasca
Peruvian Liga 2
25.05.23	Comerciantes Belén - Santos	1:0 ✺
19.05.23	Santos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	1:0 ✺
14.05.23	Los Chankas - Santos	4:1 ✺
07.05.23	Santos - Comerciantes Unidos	3:1 ✺
02.05.23	Deportivo Coopsol - Santos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWT
- Unión Huaral
Peruvian Liga 2
24.05.23	Unión Huaral - Alfonso Ugarte de Puno	1:1 ✺
20.05.23	Ayacucho - Unión Huaral	0:1 ✺
15.05.23	Unión Huaral - Carlos Stein	1:0 ✺
09.05.23	Universidad San Martín - Unión Huaral	0:1 ✺
03.05.23	Unión Huaral - Pirata	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
17.07.22	Santos - Unión Huaral	1:0
17.04.22	Unión Huaral - Santos	0:0
05.08.21	Santos - Unión Huaral	1:3
20.05.21	Unión Huaral - Santos	1:3
07.12.20	Santos - Unión Huaral	3:3
03.11.19	Santos - Unión Huaral	2:1
18.08.19	Unión Huaral - Santos	1:1

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