Match Info

PERU: Liga 2 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio José Picasso Peratta (Ica)


	Santos		Alianza Universidad de Huánuco

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.1	2.65
	2.38	3.1	2.8
	2.49	3.1	2.75
	2.54	3	2.95	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.8
	2.39	3.1	2.72
	2.38	3.1	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.96)	3.11 ↓ (3.31)	2.78 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
38.1%

Draw
29.2%

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

27.5%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

25%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Universidad de Huánuco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Universidad de Huánuco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Santos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Alianza Universidad will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Aliaga J. (G) 24. Andia R. 27. Cuneo O. 6. Delgado M. 23. Duque L. 20. Espinoza D. 11. Herrera J. 15. Leon B. 18. Navarro J. 9. Pereira G. 31. Velasco S.	1. Ynamine P. (G) 3. Ampuero A. 21. Aoki A. (C) 22. Fernandez A. 6. Ibarguen J. 32. Leguia F. 5. Montenegro E. 10. Oliva E. 90. Rodriguez C. 33. Samudio S. 38. Sernaque J.
Substitutes
19. Banega F. 8. de la Cruz P. 28. Garcia C. 12. Goyoneche B. (G) 13. Morales D. 7. Ramirez D. 21. Rey I. 25. Rivera I. 35. Trujillo L.	92. Camara J. 17. Campodonico R. 36. Enciso S. 20. Figueroa E. (G) 12. Mendoza J. 9. Pajoy L. 16. Tapia R. 11. Vasquez Ortega E. O. 27. Viza C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Sernaque J. ⚽,
23', Herrera J. 🟨,
25', 0 - 2, Rodriguez C. ⚽,
26', Aoki A. 🟨,
29', Ibarguen J. 🟨,
32', Delgado M. 🟨,
35', Navarro J. ↓, Trujillo L. ↑,
39', Trujillo L. 🟨,
40', Montenegro E. 🟨,
40', Montenegro E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Espinoza D. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
46', Andia R. ↓, de la Cruz P. ↑,
52', Aoki A. 🟨,
56', Rodriguez C. ↓, Tapia R. ↑,
56', Oliva E. ↓, Vasquez Ortega E. O. ↑,
56', Fernandez A. ↓, Mendoza J. ↑,
57', Delgado M. ↓, Rey I. ↑,
65', Tapia R. 🟨,
66', 1 - 2, Trujillo L. ⚽,
70', Rey I. 🟨,
74', Velasco S. 🟨,
75', Sernaque J. ↓, Camara J. ↑,
82', Herrera J. ↓, Morales D. ↑,
86', Leon B. 🟨,
88', Leguia F. ↓, Enciso S. ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos de Nasca
Peruvian Liga 2
04.10.24	Cantolao - Santos	1:2 ✺
28.09.24	Santos - Deportivo Coopsol	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Deportivo Municipal - Santos	Santos awarded ✺
16.09.24	Santos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:2 ✺
11.09.24	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Santos	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WT?WL
- Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Peruvian Liga 2
28.09.24	ADA Jaén - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:4 ✺
22.09.24	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Deportivo Llacuabamba	2:0 ✺
16.09.24	Santos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:2 ✺
12.09.24	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Deportivo Coopsol	0:2 ✺
08.09.24	Deportivo Municipal - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	Alianza Huanuco awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLL?

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
16.09.24	Santos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:2
22.08.24	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Santos	2:2
08.08.23	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Santos	3:0
19.05.23	Santos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	1:0
31.07.22	Santos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:2
01.05.22	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Santos	4:1
18.12.18	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Santos	2:0

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