The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santos Laguna 25.3%
Draw 25.5%
Tijuana 49.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.1%
25.4%
47.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.7%
24.1%
50%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Tijuana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Santos Laguna - Tijuana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mendoza K. (G) 14. Gomez A. 2. Hernandez Ponce A. G. 22. Ikechukwu V. 5. Novella Y. 4. Peraza M. 3. Pickard S. 7. Rodriguez D. (C) 10. Rodriguez K. 20. Romero Torres L. M. 11. Santana M.
1. Paz A. (G) 7. Borgella R. 20. Carrandi D. 3. Enrigue J. (C) 10. Hancar K. 6. Ibarra C. 8. Marroquin A. M. 17. Motau A. 4. Ojeda D. 28. Quintos B. 13. Sandoval Trejo D. G.
Substitutes
9. Calvillo S. 42. Escareno J. 16. Guevara Ortega C. 64. Hernandez B. 6. Ibarra H. 17. Martinez M. 23. Rivas T. (G) 25. Ruiz M. 18. Serna A. 19. Valle M.
22. Bautista E. 52. Caudillo D. 12. Ceja K. 34. Chagolla B. 24. Fong M. 11. Fuentes D. 21. Hernandez I. 18. Martinez N. 31. Montiel A. (G) 27. Parra L.
Coaches
Lazcano J.
Samayoa F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Rodriguez K. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Sandoval Trejo D. G. ⚽,
27', Ikechukwu V. 🟨,
28', Pickard S. 🟨,
33', Santana M. 🟨,
43', Motau A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Marroquin A. M. ↓, Fuentes D. ↑,
48', 0 - 2, Hancar K. ⚽,
55', 1 - 2, Peraza M. ⚽,
63', Santana M. ↓, Calvillo S. ↑,
63', Romero Torres L. M. ↓, Guevara Ortega C. ↑,
66', Ibarra C. ↓, Fong M. ↑,
70', Motau A. 🟥,
74', 2 - 2, Calvillo S. ⚽,
76', Carrandi D. 🟨,
78', Paz A. 🟨,
79', Sandoval Trejo D. G. ↓, Martinez N. ↑,
87', Gomez A. ↓, Serna A. ↑,
87', Carrandi D. ↓, Chagolla B. ↑,
87', Borgella R. ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 0.
Santos Laguna is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Tijuana has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Tijuana is the team to beat.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:23. (average 0.8:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.4:1.6).