Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 31 March 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Ebal Rodriguez Aguilar (Guápiles)

Referee: Matus W. (Cos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	Tigo Sports


	Santos de Guápiles		Municipal Liberia

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.1
	2.1	3.1	3.1
				Watch
	2.21	3.23	3.29	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.25
	2.15	3.25	3.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.31)	3.2 ↑ (3.16)	3.19 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos de Guápiles
42.5%

Draw
28.7%

Municipal Liberia
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

29.4%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

28.3%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos de Guápiles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Municipal Liberia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos de Guápiles than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Liberia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Santos de Guápiles - Municipal Liberia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Santos de Guápiles will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Municipal Liberia will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Parker D. (G) 2. Smith J. 3. Ordain J. (C) 27. Basulto M. 22. Aguero J. 33. Cortes W. 88. Arauz A. 16. Chirino R. 14. Mendez G. 9. Rodriguez F. 7. Cordero Gonzalez J.	1. Monreal A. (G) 37. Fuller K. 15. Reyes C. (C) 30. Huertas J. 98. Gomez I. 34. Henestrosa J. 11. Sequeira B. 20. Pilone M. 31. Padilla S. 14. Matthews D. 26. Colindres D.
Substitutes
29. Cerdas K. 25. Climaco A. 4. Enriquez K. 1. Morales B. (G) 20. Ruiz A. 11. Salas R. 53. Villalobos J.	9. Leiva G. 32. Monge J. 8. Mora J. 28. Reyes N. 5. Rios J. 12. Sanchez J. 23. Villegas D. (G)
Coaches
Centeno W.	Cardozo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Basulto M. 🟨,
22', Gomez I. 🟨,
25', Cordero Gonzalez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Cordero Gonzalez J. ↓, Villalobos J. ↑,
55', Chirino R. ↓, Enriquez K. ↑,
55', Cortes W. ↓, Climaco A. ↑,
60', Reyes C. 🟨,
62', Rodriguez F. ↓, Cerdas K. ↑,
65', Fuller K. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
69', Climaco A. 🟨,
69', Sequeira B. 🟨,
71', 0 - 1, Padilla S. ⚽,
73', Arauz A. ↓, Salas R. ↑,
75', Climaco A. 🟨,
79', Matthews D. ↓, Monge J. ↑,
79', Colindres D. ↓, Leiva G. ↑,
79', Gomez I. ↓, Mora J. ↑,
89', Pilone M. ↓, Rios J. ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santos de Guápiles won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Santos de Guápiles will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Santos de Guápiles won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:11 (average 0.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Santos de Guápiles won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Municipal Liberia - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 30.53%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos de Guápiles
Costa Rican Primera Division
27.03.25	Santos de Guápiles - Deportivo Saprissa	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Guanacasteca - Santos de Guápiles	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Santos de Guápiles - Cartagines	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Pérez Zeledón - Santos de Guápiles	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Santos de Guápiles - Alajuelense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWTLT
- Municipal Liberia
Costa Rican Primera Division
25.03.25	Municipal Liberia - Guanacasteca	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Deportivo Saprissa - Municipal Liberia	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Municipal Liberia - Sporting San José	1:0 ✺
28.02.25	San Carlos - Municipal Liberia	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Puntarenas FC - Municipal Liberia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
25.01.25	Municipal Liberia - Santos de Guápiles	0:1
28.09.24	Santos de Guápiles - Municipal Liberia	0:1
09.08.24	Municipal Liberia - Santos de Guápiles	4:0
06.04.24	Santos de Guápiles - Municipal Liberia	3:0
28.01.24	Municipal Liberia - Santos de Guápiles	5:0
17.10.23	Municipal Liberia - Santos de Guápiles	1:1

Santos de Guápiles - Municipal Liberia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide