Match Info

COSTA RICA: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ebal Rodriguez Aguilar (Guápiles)

Referee: Vindas R. (Cos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	Tigo Sports


	Santos de Guápiles		Alajuelense

	1	X	2
	5	3.5	1.67
	4.4	3.3	1.72	Watch
	5.12	3.62	1.71
	5.21	3.51	1.7	Watch
	4.75	3.3	1.75
	4.81	3.45	1.75	Watch
	4.4	3.3	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↓ (4.92)	3.43 ↓ (3.48)	1.72 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos de Guápiles
19.2%

Draw
27%

Alajuelense
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

26.2%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

25.4%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos de Guápiles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Alajuelense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos de Guápiles than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Santos de Guápiles - Alajuelense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Santos de Guápiles will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Alajuelense will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Parker D. (G) 22. Aguero J. 33. Cortes W. 2. Smith J. 29. Cerdas K. 31. Aguilar D. 20. Ruiz A. 88. Arauz A. 41. Leal Y. 53. Villalobos J. 9. Rodriguez F.	23. Ortega Olivera W. J. (G) 2. Martinez C. 13. Gamboa A. 25. van der Putten S. 22. Matarrita R. 8. Angulo L. 5. Borges C. (C) 34. Perez C. 11. Campos D. 97. Anderson Canhoto 19. Toril A.
Coaches
Centeno W.	Guimaraes A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Leal Y. ↓, Barthley D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Toril A. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
46', Perez C. ↓, Campbell J. ↑,
63', Campos D. ↓, Moya J. ↑,
64', Cortes W. 🟨,
66', Ruiz A. ↓, James M. ↑,
80', Villalobos J. ↓, Salazar E. ↑,
80', Cerdas K. ↓, Ramirez F. ↑,
80', Barthley D. ↓, Salas R. ↑,
88', Matarrita R. ↓, Villalobos Alfaro G. ↑,
88', Angulo L. ↓, Bran Flores A. J. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Santos de Guápiles won 0.

Recent matches Santos de Guápiles is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alajuelense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Santos de Guápiles could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alajuelense is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Santos de Guápiles won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 17:39 (average 0.9:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Santos de Guápiles won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11:24 (average 1:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos de Guápiles
Costa Rican Primera Division
17.02.25	Sporting San José - Santos de Guápiles	0:3 ✺
13.02.25	Santos de Guápiles - Herediano	2:2 ✺
08.02.25	Santos de Guápiles - Santa Ana	2:3 ✺
01.02.25	Santos de Guápiles - Guanacasteca	1:0 ✺
29.01.25	Deportivo Saprissa - Santos de Guápiles	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTLWL
- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
15.02.25	Alajuelense - Guanacasteca	1:0 ✺
12.02.25	Sporting San José - Alajuelense	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Deportivo Saprissa - Alajuelense	1:1 ✺
05.02.25	Alajuelense - Herediano	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Alajuelense - Cartagines	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Copa
09.10.24	Santos de Guápiles - Alajuelense	0:1 penalties
Costa Rican Primera Division
06.10.24	Santos de Guápiles - Alajuelense	1:3
21.07.24	Alajuelense - Santos de Guápiles	2:1
08.05.24	Santos de Guápiles - Alajuelense	0:3
01.03.24	Alajuelense - Santos de Guápiles	4:0
23.09.23	Alajuelense - Santos de Guápiles	4:0
26.07.23	Santos de Guápiles - Alajuelense	0:1

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