Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 14

Date: 6 December 2024, Friday


	Santurtzi		Padura

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.3	3.5
	1.93	3.3	3.55
	1.92	3.2	3.72
	1.92	3.32	3.77	Watch
	1.9	3.32	3.69
	1.93	3.3	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.89)	3.29 ↓ (3.36)	3.63 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santurtzi
47.4%

Draw
27.6%

Padura
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27.1%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

20.9%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santurtzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Padura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santurtzi than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santurtzi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padura than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Padura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Santurtzi - Padura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Santurtzi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Santurtzi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santurtzi
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
30.11.24	Beasain - Santurtzi	3:0 ✺
24.11.24	Santurtzi - Pasaia	2:2 ✺
17.11.24	San Ignacio - Santurtzi	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Santurtzi - Basconia	2:2 ✺
31.10.24	Leioa - Santurtzi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLTT
- CD Padura
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
23.11.24	Beasain - Padura	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	Padura - Touring KE	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Pasaia - Padura	3:2 ✺
01.11.24	Padura - Deusto	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	San Ignacio - Padura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLTL

Santurtzi - Padura: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide