Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Beasain		Padura

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.2
	1.7	3.5	4.5
	1.72	3.28	4.23
	1.7	3.45	4.53
	1.7	3.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.7)	3.43 ↓ (3.46)	4.39 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beasain
53.1%

Draw
26.3%

Padura
20.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.4%

26.2%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

24.5%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beasain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Padura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padura than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Beasain - Padura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 1 - 0, Eizagirre B. ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 13 and 15).

Recent matches Beasain is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Padura is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Beasain is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Beasain won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 2.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Beasain won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Beasain
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
16.11.24	Pasaia - Beasain	4:1 ✺
09.11.24	Beasain - San Ignacio	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Basconia - Beasain	2:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Beasain - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
26.10.24	Beasain - Leioa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWLL
- CD Padura
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
16.11.24	Padura - Touring KE	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Pasaia - Padura	3:2 ✺
01.11.24	Padura - Deusto	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	San Ignacio - Padura	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Padura - Durango	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
06.04.24	Padura - Beasain	3:1
18.11.23	Beasain - Padura	4:2

Beasain - Padura