The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sarajevo 52.9%
Draw 26.8%
Željezničar Sarajevo 20.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.3%
23.3%
14.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.6%
22.8%
14.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarajevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarajevo's form might have worsened.
Željezničar Sarajevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Željezničar Sarajevo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarajevo than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarajevo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Željezničar Sarajevo than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Željezničar Sarajevo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
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Sarajevo - Željezničar Sarajevo Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Sarajevo will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Željezničar will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sarajevo: 19% – 81%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarajevo (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Željezničar (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarajevo (votes: 2 - 50%). Željezničar (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Banic I. (G) 22. Beganovic A. 28. Bralic S. 59. Cimirot G. 20. Elezi A. 99. Joao Carlos 23. Krdzalic A. 77. Kupresak M. 88. Ljajic A. (C) 4. Mujkic N. 33. Ristovski S.
13. Muftic V. (C) 3. Alic E. 4. Bicakcic E. 7. Krpic S. 2. Odinaka E. 6. Pejic A. 8. Prokop D. 88. Radovac S. 16. Sabic D. 33. Seedorf C. 11. Vini Peixoto
Substitutes
27. Hujber L. 35. Ignatkov S. 6. Ivanisevic J. 11. Kyeremeh F. 7. Menalo L. 13. Musija S. (G) 10. Renan Oliveira 5. Telalovic R. 24. Zivkovic F.
1. Abdulahovic T. (G) 23. Dragovic E. 62. Freeman J. 22. Gojak A. 9. Jaganjac H. 30. Kelmendi D. 60. Korora A. 27. Milosevic D. 15. Nastic B. 61. Rascic A. 19. Sukilovic M.
Coaches
Cvitanovic M.
Mulaosmanovic A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Krpic S. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Elezi A. ⚽, Kupresak M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cimirot G. ↓, Telalovic R. ↑,
48', Alic E. 🟨,
50', Telalovic R. 🟨,
61', Sabic D. ↓, Freeman J. ↑,
61', Prokop D. ↓, Dragovic E. ↑,
73', Radovac S. ↓, Milosevic D. ↑,
74', Krpic S. ↓, Korora A. ↑,
80', Vini Peixoto ↓, Rascic A. ↑,
82', Kupresak M. ↓, Kyeremeh F. ↑,
90+7', Pejic A. 🟨,
Preview
Sarajevo is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarajevo won 2.
Sarajevo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Željezničar is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Sarajevo is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sarajevo won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Sarajevo won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:10. (average 1.8:0.8).