Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 20 July 2023, Thursday

Location: Stadion Asim Ferhatović Hase (Sarajevo)

Referee: Orlic I. (Mda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Sarajevo		Torpedo Kutaisi

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	4.33	Watch
	1.52	4	5.85
	1.48	4.15	6
	1.5	4.15	6.2
	1.51	4.25	6.15	Watch
	1.56	4.3	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.85)	4.14 ↑ (3.6)	5.76 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarajevo
61.3%

Draw
22.5%

Torpedo Kutaisi
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

26%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarajevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarajevo's performance.

Torpedo Kutaisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torpedo Kutaisi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarajevo than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarajevo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Kutaisi than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torpedo Kutaisi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.5%	11.1%	7.4%

Sarajevo - Torpedo Kutaisi Predictions

Users Predictions: Sarajevo will win (22 of 27 users predict this - 81.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.83% – 96.13%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sahinovic M. (G) 22. Beganovic A. 6. Zeljkovic S. 28. Anicic M. 3. Durakovic E. 8. Vrancic M. 5. Jelic Balta I. 11. Kyeremeh F. 10. Varesanovic D. 77. Ziljkic A. (C) 9. Renan Oliveira	31. Kljajic F. (G) 3. Monteiro P. 16. Sandokhadze N. 5. Nadaraia T. 27. Shergelashvili L. 15. Kobuladze G. 7. Gigauri M. (C) 6. Akbari R. 20. Bugridze I. 8. Arabidze G. 14. Pantsulaia G.
Substitutes
27. Avramovski D. 50. Buljubasic M. 7. Catakovic H. 18. Guliashvili G. 29. Ikic I. 98. Mustafic M. 23. Radovic S. 39. Rogic L. (G) 21. Serbecic B. 13. Sutkovic A. (G) 4. Trako M. 19. Viveros Rodallega K. S.	39. Caballero M. 25. Chachua J. 4. Chichinadze A. 2. Goglichidze S. 1. Goshadze O. (G) 11. Haydary O. 38. Kayke David 13. Mandzhgaladze G. 21. Neto A. 29. Tshavanadze L.
Coaches
Varesanovic M.	Kean S.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-2.

Sarajevo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Torpedo Kutaisi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sarajevo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Torpedo Kutaisi have a series of home games.

In this match Sarajevo is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sarajevo to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sarajevo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Sarajevo
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Sarajevo	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.07.23	Sarajevo - Domžale	3:1 ✺
01.07.23	Sarajevo - Nafta	1:0 ✺
30.06.23	Sarajevo - Shkendija Tetovo	2:0 ✺
26.06.23	Petrolul Ploieşti - Sarajevo	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWWWW
- Torpedo Kutaisi
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Sarajevo	2:2 ✺
Georgian Super Cup
04.07.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dila Gori	1:0 penalties ✺
30.06.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dinamo Batumi	0:1 penalties ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
05.06.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Dila Gori	1:0 ✺
01.06.23	Dinamo Batumi - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Torpedo Kutaisi - Sarajevo	2:2

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