Match Info

ARGENTINA: Reserve League - First stage - Round 13

Date: 22 May 2024, Wednesday


	Sarmiento de Junín 2		Tigre 2

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	2.85	3.1	2.35	Watch
	2.92	3.15	2.46
	2.93	3.03	2.46
	2.8	3.1	2.3
	2.9	3.05	2.36	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.68)	3.09 ↑ (2.97)	2.37 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín 2
32%

Draw
29.5%

Tigre 2
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

31.2%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

30.4%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Tigre 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín 2 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre 2 than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Tigre 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).

Sarmiento 2 is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tigre 2 is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tigre 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sarmiento 2 won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sarmiento 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín 2
Argentinian Reserve League
15.05.24	Platense 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:0 ✺
07.05.24	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Estudiantes La Plata 2	0:1 ✺
24.04.24	Central Córdoba 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:0 ✺
18.04.24	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:2 ✺
10.04.24	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLLLW
- Tigre 2
Argentinian Reserve League
14.05.24	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Tigre 2	1:0 ✺
10.05.24	Tigre 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	2:0 ✺
24.04.24	Talleres de Córdoba 2 - Tigre 2	2:0 ✺
18.04.24	Tigre 2 - Lanús 2	3:2 ✺
11.04.24	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Tigre 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
16.08.23	Tigre 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:0
10.04.23	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Tigre 2	1:1
05.10.22	Tigre 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:1

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