Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Eva Peron (Junin)

Referee: Penel A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Sarmiento de Junín		Talleres de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.85	Watch
	3.75	3.1	2.05
	4.45	3.25	1.88
	3.81	3.26	2.08
	4.64	3.33	1.87	Watch
	4.32	3.4	1.88	Watch
	4.45	3.25	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.27 ↑ (2.8)	3.28 ↑ (3.16)	1.93 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín
22.1%

Draw
28.8%

Talleres de Córdoba
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

29.9%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

31.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarmiento de Junín's form might have worsened.

Talleres de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Talleres de Córdoba's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarmiento de Junín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talleres de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Talleres de Córdoba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	33.3%	61.1%

Sarmiento de Junín - Talleres de Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Sarmiento will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Talleres will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Talleres: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Acosta L. (G) 44. Orihuela R. 14. Roncaglia F. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 39. Godoy J. 28. Gho J. 25. Villalba C. 23. Gimenez E. 22. Burgoa V. 7. Magnin P. 18. Morales I.	22. Herrera G. (C) 20. Schott A. 28. Portillo J. 6. Rodriguez J. 16. Navarro M. 30. Ortegoza U. 27. Portilla J. 33. Reynoso E. 77. Rick 9. Girotti F. 34. Palacios S.
Substitutes
12. Ayala T. (G) 10. Carabajal G. 20. Frias F. 5. Garcia M. 31. Guiacobini T. 40. Marquez B. 11. Monaco M. 36. Morales S. 8. Paradela F. 34. Seyral A. 17. Vallejos J. 21. Vigo A.	38. Albarracin G. 10. Botta R. 1. Burrai J. (G) 7. Bustos N. 3. Cardona T. 11. Depietri V. 44. Fernandez S. 8. Galarza M. 17. Mosqueira J. 26. Portillo M. 15. Riveros B. 25. Tarragona C.
Coaches
Sanguinetti J.	Medina A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Insaurralde J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Navarro M. 🟨,
65', Orihuela R. 🟨,
69', Girotti F. ↓, Tarragona C. ↑,
69', Reynoso E. ↓, Botta R. ↑,
71', Navarro M. ↓, Riveros B. ↑,
79', Burgoa V. ↓, Monaco M. ↑,
79', Magnin P. ↓, Frias F. ↑,
79', Godoy J. ↓, Vigo A. ↑,
79', Palacios S. ↓, Depietri V. ↑,
82', Gimenez E. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
88', Gho J. ↓, Vallejos J. ↑,
89', Portilla J. ↓, Mosqueira J. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sarmiento won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Talleres could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Talleres will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sarmiento: Monaco M. (Knee Injury) Rosales M. (Injury) Suhr L. (Red Card)

There will not play in Talleres: Catalan M. (Knee Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Sarmiento won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8:15 (average 0.9:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Sarmiento won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.2:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
08.03.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Aldosivi - Sarmiento de Junín	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Rosario Central - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
17.02.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Deportivo Riestra	2:1 ✺
13.02.25	Atlético Tucumán - Sarmiento de Junín	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTLWL
- Talleres de Córdoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.03.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Rosario Central	0:0 ✺
Argentinian International Super Cup
05.03.25	River Plate - Talleres de Córdoba	0:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.03.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Tigre	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Deportivo Riestra - Talleres de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Atlético Tucumán	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.11.24	Talleres de Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín	2:0
06.07.23	Sarmiento de Junín - Talleres de Córdoba	0:1
05.06.22	Talleres de Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
08.05.22	Talleres de Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.12.21	Sarmiento de Junín - Talleres de Córdoba	1:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
06.03.21	Sarmiento de Junín - Talleres de Córdoba	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.05.17	Sarmiento de Junín - Talleres de Córdoba	1:4

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