Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Eva Peron (Junin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zamora D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	19:00	AFA Play, ESPN Premium
Chile	19:00	ESPN 5
Mexico	16:00	Disney+
Peru	17:00	Disney+
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Uruguay	19:00	Disney+
Usa	18:00	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes
Venezuela	18:00	Disney+


	Sarmiento de Junín		Barracas Central

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.6	Watch
	2.30	3.00	3.25
	2.22	2.92	3.45	Watch
	2.33	3.04	3.71
	2.33	3.04	3.4	Watch
	2.25	2.95	3.6
	2.27	3.01	3.58	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.25)	2.98 ↑ (2.94)	3.5 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín
41.4%

Draw
31.6%

Barracas Central
26.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

31.6%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

31.7%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Sarmiento de Junín - Barracas Central Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ayala T. (G) 44. Orihuela R. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 3. Suarez L. 8. Salle S. 16. Martinez M. 15. Zabala C. 21. Mavilla J. 19. Contrera J. 27. Marabel J. 10. Renteria J.	30. Mino M. (G) 13. Barrios R. 15. Rak Y. 31. Demartini N. 17. Pereyra E. 28. Bogarin R. 35. Rolon E. 10. Tapia I. (C) 24. Taborda E. 34. Orsini N. 11. Briasco N.
Substitutes
1. Arboleda I. (G) 6. Arturia G. 9. Diego Churin 5. Garcia M. 23. Gimenez E. 20. Gimenez U. 11. Gonzalez G. 24. Herrera J. 7. Magnin P. 17. Nadruz A. 77. Pasquini N. 29. Santamaria T.	19. Arce C. 77. Bruera F. 37. Campi G. 2. Capraro N. 1. Espinola J. (G) 16. Guaraz I. A. 6. Insua R. 36. Lavezzi T. 33. Maroni G. 4. Martinez D. 8. Porra T. 23. Rivera W.
Coaches
Sava F.	Ayude D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Renteria J. ⚽, Zabala C. (A),
43', Demartini N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Renteria J. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
59', Bogarin R. ↓, Maroni G. ↑,
70', Mavilla J. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
70', Contrera J. ↓, Gimenez U. ↑,
71', Pereyra E. ↓, Insua R. ↑,
71', Tapia I. ↓, Porra T. ↑,
71', Marabel J. 🟨,
78', 1 - 1, Insua R. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Suarez L. 🟨,
83', Martinez M. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
90+4', Orsini N. ↓, Bruera F. ↑,
90+4', Briasco N. ↓, Arce C. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals) and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Sarmiento may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sarmiento holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Sarmiento: Seyral A. (Knee Injury) Villalba C. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Barracas Central: Candia J. (Inactive) Duarte M. (Knee Injury) Gamba L. (Muscle Injury) Martinez D. (Inactive) Morales G. (Coach's decision) Porra T. (Knee Injury) Tobio F. (Inactive).

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Sarmiento has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:12 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sarmiento against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:6 goals (averaging 1.3:2 per game).

Outrights of Argentinian Liga Profesional for now

Sarmiento Junin: 2.27% Barracas Central: 2.14%

Last Results with these Odds

Barracas Central - the odds 3.43 are the expected chance of winning is 27.09%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.10.26	Sarmiento de Junín - River Plate	1:1 ✺
09.10.26	Aldosivi - Sarmiento de Junín	1:3 ✺
18.09.26	Racing - Sarmiento de Junín	3:1 ✺
13.09.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Belgrano	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Sarmiento de Junín	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWLTW
- Barracas Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.10.26	Barracas Central - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Atlético Tucumán - Barracas Central	2:3 ✺
21.09.26	Barracas Central - Independiente Rivadavia	0:1 ✺
14.09.26	Banfield - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Barracas Central - Argentinos Juniors	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.04.26	Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín	1:2
20.09.25	Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1
08.03.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Barracas Central	1:1
19.05.24	Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
24.02.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Barracas Central	0:0
02.10.23	Barracas Central - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.02.23	Sarmiento de Junín - Barracas Central	3:5

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