Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 9 September 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Sarmiento de Junín 2		Ferro 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	2	3.15	3.35
	2.08	3.18	3.45
	1.95	3.38	3.68	Watch
	2	3.16	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.7)	3.19 ↓ (3.45)	3.51 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín 2
45.6%

Draw
28.5%

Ferro 2
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

26.4%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

25.7%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarmiento de Junín 2's form might have worsened.

Ferro 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferro 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín 2 than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarmiento de Junín 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro 2 than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferro 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Ferro 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15).

Sarmiento 2 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ferro 2's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sarmiento 2 might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín 2
Argentinian Reserve League
03.09.25	Barracas Central 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Rosario Central 2	0:1 ✺
22.08.25	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	2:2 ✺
12.08.25	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	0:2 ✺
05.08.25	San Martín de San Juan 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WLTLW
- Ferro Carril Oeste 2
Argentinian Reserve League
03.09.25	Colón Santa Fe 2 - Ferro 2	1:1 ✺
28.08.25	Ferro 2 - San Lorenzo 2	0:0 ✺
20.08.25	Rosario Central 2 - Ferro 2	4:0 ✺
12.08.25	Ferro 2 - Instituto 2	0:3 ✺
07.08.25	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Ferro 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTLLL

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