Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4, LPF Play
Peru	Disney+
South-america	ESPN 4 South
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Ferro 2		San Lorenzo 2

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.9	2.15
	3.25	2.92	2.15
	3.28	3.1	2.25
	3.24	2.99	2.28	Watch
	3.33	2.94	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (3.12)	2.97 ↑ (2.93)	2.2 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro 2
27.9%

Draw
30.7%

San Lorenzo 2
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

31%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

30.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

San Lorenzo 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro 2 than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo 2 than the current prediction. (-2%)

Ferro 2 - San Lorenzo 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 13).

Ferro 2 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

San Lorenzo 2 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

San Lorenzo 2 might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste 2
Argentinian Reserve League
20.08.25	Rosario Central 2 - Ferro 2	4:0 ✺
12.08.25	Ferro 2 - Instituto 2	0:3 ✺
07.08.25	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Ferro 2	2:1 ✺
03.08.25	Ferro 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:2 ✺
29.07.25	Ferro 2 - Platense 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLTW
- San Lorenzo 2
Argentinian Reserve League
20.08.25	San Lorenzo 2 - Instituto 2	0:1 ✺
13.08.25	Platense 2 - San Lorenzo 2	1:0 ✺
08.08.25	San Lorenzo 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:0 ✺
29.07.25	River Plate 2 - San Lorenzo 2	2:2 ✺
24.07.25	San Lorenzo 2 - Gimnasia La Plata 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWTT

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