The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sarpsborg 08 36.5%
Draw 25.5%
Molde 37.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.7%
26.3%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34%
26.5%
39.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarpsborg 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Molde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molde than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Sarpsborg 08 - Molde Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Sarpsborg will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Molde will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for Molde: 53.8% – 96.2%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Molde (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Molde (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ndiaye M. (G) 12. Niyukuri C. 4. Utvik B. 2. Koch M. 21. Hiim A. 22. Halvorsen V. E. 8. Christiansen S. (C) 10. Sorli S. 33. Nibe A. 17. Williams N. 11. Karlsbakk D.
22. Posiadala A. (G) 18. Stenevik H. 4. Hansen S. 33. Risa B. 25. Linnes M. 15. Hoff V. 17. Daehli M. 5. Hestad E. 10. Breivik E. (C) 23. Granaas S. 8. Gulbrandsen F.
Substitutes
56. Barret-Olsen M. 26. Chriso 50. Eidal M. M. 18. Gueye B. 5. Odegaard M. 87. Oy L. (G) 3. Skuseth N. 81. Svenningsen Gronn M. 32. Wichne E.
6. Amundsen I. 28. Bender V. 14. Christensen J. 19. Haugan E. 31. Isufi B. 24. Kone-Doherty T. 12. Lervik P. (G) 21. Spiten-Nysaeter O. 11. Zady C.
Coaches
Sel E.
Tjelmeland S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Karlsbakk D. (Penalty Awarded),
10', Hestad E. 🟨,
26', Utvik B. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Hestad E. ⚽, Granaas S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Niyukuri C. 🟨,
59', 2 - 1, Hiim A. ⚽, Williams N. (A),
75', Hestad E. ↓, Christensen J. ↑,
75', Hoff V. ↓, Zady C. ↑,
79', Linnes M. ↓, Spiten-Nysaeter O. ↑,
79', Williams N. ↓, Wichne E. ↑,
88', Nibe A. ↓, Odegaard M. ↑,
88', Karlsbakk D. ↓, Gueye B. ↑,
89', Granaas S. ↓, Isufi B. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 3.
Sarpsborg is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Molde is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Sarpsborg: Berget J.
(Injury)
Camil Mmaee
(Groin Injury)
Carstensen F.
(Injury)
Opoku M.
(Ankle Injury)
Rosted S.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Molde: Daga D.
(Injury)
Dahl F.
(Knee Injury)
Kikkenborg M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Molde: Abdullai J.
(Injury)
Oyvann C.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 30:48. (average 1.5:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Sarpsborg won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).
Outrights of Norwegian Eliteserien for now
Molde: 0.72%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Molde
22
11
4
7
46:34
12
37
9
Sarpsborg 08
22
7
7
8
28:31
-3
28
Last Results with these Odds
Molde - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 40%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Norway
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Ndiaye M. (G) 
Niyukuri C. 
Utvik B. 
Koch M. 
Nibe A. 
Williams N. 
Posiadala A. (G) 
Chriso 
Kone-Doherty T. 
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