Match Info

NORWAY: Eliteserien - Round 2

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Sarpsborg Stadion (Sarpsborg)

Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)


	Sarpsborg 08		Odd

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.2	5.25	Watch
	1.61	4.2	4.75
	1.62	4.5	5	Watch
	1.65	4.46	5.03
	1.63	4.46	5.03
	1.55	4.2	4.6
	1.61	4.36	5.08	Watch
	1.58	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.56)	4.32 ↓ (4.65)	4.97 ↓ (5.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarpsborg 08
59%

Draw
21.9%

Odd
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

20.4%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

15.7%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Odd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarpsborg 08 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Odd than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Odd could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Sarpsborg 08 - Odd Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sarpsborg will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Odd will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sarpsborg: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ilic M. (G) 20. Reinhardsen P. 5. Odegaard M. 30. Tebo Uchenna F. 72. Christiansen S. 99. Sher A. 8. Andersen J. 11. Tibbling S. 18. Ngouali S. 27. Orjasaeter S. 19. Meister H.	1. Hansen A. (G) 2. Ruud E. 21. Hagen S. (C) 5. Miettinen T. 3. Baccay J. 7. Jorgensen F. 17. Owusu S. 6. Svendsen T. 29. Bang-Kittilsen B. 10. Ingebrigtsen M. 11. Tewelde F.
Substitutes
7. Andersen M. 14. Berget J. 22. Halvorsen V. E. 10. Johansen S. 40. Oy L. (G) 23. Sandberg N. 31. Skipper A. 32. Wichne E. 98. Zekhnini R.	18. Aas S. 16. Glenna C. 8. Hussain E. 14. Ivancevic M. 30. Klausen P. (G) 9. Midtskogen O. 24. Njie B. 26. Skau J. 13. Skjeldal S.
Coaches
Billborn S.	Dokken K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Hagen S. ↓, Ivancevic M. ↑,
21', Odegaard M. ↓, Skipper A. ↑,
23', 0 - 1, Tewelde F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tibbling S. ↓, Sandberg N. ↑,
51', Owusu S. 🟨,
58', Christiansen S. 🟨,
62', Meister H. ↓, Berget J. ↑,
62', Andersen J. ↓, Johansen S. ↑,
62', Meister H. ↓, Berget J. ↑,
69', Bang-Kittilsen B. ↓, Njie B. ↑,
76', Tewelde F. ↓, Glenna C. ↑,
76', Jorgensen F. ↓, Hussain E. ↑,
76', Ruud E. ↓, Midtskogen O. ↑,
76', Reinhardsen P. ↓, Wichne E. ↑,
79', Miettinen T. 🟨,
80', Berget J. (Pen),
87', Baccay J. 🟨,
90+1', Svendsen T. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sarpsborg won 3.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Recently Sarpsborg have a series of guest games.

In this match Sarpsborg is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Sarpsborg won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 27-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Sarpsborg won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien
01.04.24	Viking Stavanger - Sarpsborg 08	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.24	IFK Göteborg - Sarpsborg 08	0:3 ✺
16.03.24	Hamarkameratene - Sarpsborg 08	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08	5:3 ✺
02.03.24	Sarpsborg 08 - Moss	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTLL
- Odds BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
31.03.24	Odd - Haugesund	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.03.24	Lillestrøm SK - Odd	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Strømsgodset - Odd	1:3 ✺
02.03.24	Odd - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	0:3 ✺
21.02.24	Elfsborg - Odd	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
19.08.23	Odd - Sarpsborg 08	0:3
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Sarpsborg 08 - Odd	3:1
Norwegian Eliteserien
23.04.23	Sarpsborg 08 - Odd	0:0
Club Friendly
26.02.23	Odd - Sarpsborg 08	1:2
Norwegian Eliteserien
20.08.22	Odd - Sarpsborg 08	1:0
07.05.22	Sarpsborg 08 - Odd	1:0
Club Friendly
27.02.22	Odd - Sarpsborg 08	2:0

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