Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 19

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Sarpsborg Stadion (Sarpsborg)

Referee: Nilsen O. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
World	Onefootball


	Sarpsborg 08		Kristiansund

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.1	4.2	Watch
	1.6	4.33	4.6
	1.75	4.1	4.1	Watch
	1.77	4.4	4.59
	1.93	3.77	3.57	Watch
	1.6	4	4.75
	1.74	4.13	4.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.64)	4.12 ↓ (4.37)	4.29 ↓ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarpsborg 08
54.8%

Draw
23%

Kristiansund
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

21.7%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

20.9%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarpsborg 08 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Kristiansund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarpsborg 08, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristiansund than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	15.8%	10.5%

Sarpsborg 08 - Kristiansund Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Sarpsborg will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Kristiansund will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sarpsborg: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarpsborg (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Kristiansund (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarpsborg (votes: 3 - 50%). Kristiansund (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ndiaye M. (G) 32. Wichne E. 13. Utvik B. 5. Odegaard M. 20. Reinhardsen P. 8. Christiansen S. 17. Bruseth H. 28. Sorli S. 14. Berget J. (C) 7. Sanyang A. 11. Karlsbakk D.	12. Saether A. (G) 22. Hoffmann I. 4. Olsen M. 5. Ulvestad D. (C) 15. Rakneberg M. 20. Igor W. 8. Sletsjoe H. 16. Tufekcic D. 18. Odegard N. 9. Kilen S. 19. Alvheim L.
Substitutes
19. Gudjohnsen S. 22. Halvorsen V. E. 21. Hiim A. 31. Jenssen H. (G) 26. Job D. 15. Opoku M. 4. Skuseth N. 81. Svenningsen Gronn M. 10. Tangen H.	10. Corlu R. 3. Flex F. 7. Isah M. 21. Jelicic I. 27. Ronning A. 6. Skeide S. 26. Skjaerstein A. (G) 17. Williamsen M.
Coaches
Nyland S.	Skiri A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Sanyang A. 🟨,
36', Igor W. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Tufekcic D. ⚽, Odegard N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Sanyang A. ↓, Job D. ↑,
61', Alvheim L. 🟨,
67', Bruseth H. ↓, Tangen H. ↑,
67', Hoffmann I. ↓, Williamsen M. ↑,
67', Alvheim L. ↓, Isah M. ↑,
76', Reinhardsen P. 🟨,
76', Wichne E. ↓, Hiim A. ↑,
76', Karlsbakk D. ↓, Gudjohnsen S. ↑,
81', Tufekcic D. ↓, Corlu R. ↑,
81', Sletsjoe H. ↓, Skeide S. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone Eliteserien (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 1.

Sarpsborg is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kristiansund has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Sarpsborg is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sarpsborg: Carstensen F. (Thigh Injury) Koch M. (Yellow Cards) Sher A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Kristiansund: Lansing M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Jeahze M. (Injury) Wichne E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kristiansund: Ndour A. (Knock)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sarpsborg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.3:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Kristiansund - the odds 4.68 are the expected chance of winning is 20.29%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien
17.08.25	Vålerenga - Sarpsborg 08	4:0 ✺
10.08.25	Haugesund - Sarpsborg 08	3:2 ✺
02.08.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Brann	1:4 ✺
26.07.25	Sandefjord - Sarpsborg 08	3:2 ✺
18.07.25	Sarpsborg 08 - Rosenborg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT
- Kristiansund BK
Norwegian Eliteserien
17.08.25	Kristiansund - Sandefjord	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Kristiansund - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	0:5 ✺
20.07.25	Sandefjord - Kristiansund	6:0 ✺
13.07.25	Kristiansund - Sarpsborg 08	0:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
09.07.25	Lillestrøm SK - Kristiansund	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
13.07.25	Kristiansund - Sarpsborg 08	0:0
15.09.24	Sarpsborg 08 - Kristiansund	0:2
02.06.24	Kristiansund - Sarpsborg 08	3:1
06.11.22	Sarpsborg 08 - Kristiansund	2:2
10.04.22	Kristiansund - Sarpsborg 08	2:3
24.10.21	Kristiansund - Sarpsborg 08	1:3
27.05.21	Sarpsborg 08 - Kristiansund	0:1

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